Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 2:00 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 76% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were MTL 19, TBL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Carey Price stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 1.9 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brayden Point (3 A), 3. Erik Cernak (1 G).
Three stars
- ★N. Kucherov2 G, 1 A

- ★★B. Point3 A

- ★★★E. Cernak1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-16:19
2nd period
0-25:47
1-217:40
3rd period
1-32:00
1-411:25
1-518:50
Penalties
1st
- 15:21
Barclay Goodrow · Cross checkingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
- 19:14
Ben Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
3rd
- 6:30
Erik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
- 6:30
Eric Staal · Roughingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
- 13:42
Blake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
- 15:51
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · High stickingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
- 17:20
Joel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 3rd 2:00 — 76% → 92%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.2
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.1
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 3.14
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 19
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 58
- Hits
- 57
- 5
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 3
- Giveaways
- 9
- 5
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Series
TBL leads 4-1
1@
5this game
1@
3Final
6@
3Final
2@
3OTFinal
0@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






