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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
0
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸1
FinalTV NBC, CBC·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 1-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ross Colton's goal at 13:27 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals were close — MTL 1.8, TBL 2.0; shots on goal were MTL 22, TBL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Carey Price stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Ross Colton (1 G), 3. Barclay Goodrow.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    R. Colton1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Goodrow

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0401008022
TBLTBL01316011130

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. TBL
    R. Colton(4)
    D. Savard (5), R. McDonagh (8)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    0-1
    13:27

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:21MTLCorey Perry · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 7:19TBLJan Rutta · Cross checkingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 8:15MTLCorey Perry · Embellishment2 min
  • 8:15TBLErik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 8:43MTLJosh Anderson · Hookingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 0:21TBLDavid Savard · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:32TBLMikhail Sergachev · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 19:22MTLBen Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Ross Colton, 2nd 13:27 — TBL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.17N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.14P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.10O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.10P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.09B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.08T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · Missed · xG 0.04R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL1 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
1.80 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.30 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL46%54%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
22
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
48
Hits
56
9
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD000010.03500—24:23
8B. ChiarotD000-130.17922—23:39
26J. PetryD000000.00500—23:23
44J. EdmundsonD000-100.02330—22:02
24P. DanaultC000000.001005021:37
14N. SuzukiC000020.131003321:31
73T. ToffoliC000020.10200017:01
22C. CaufieldR000030.40000—16:43
17J. AndersonR000030.31602—16:14
94C. PerryR000-100.08004—14:54
71J. EvansC000010.031005013:31
11B. GallagherR000010.03300—13:12
62A. LehkonenL000020.21210—13:11
27A. RomanovD000010.05330—12:43
41P. ByronL000000.0040010012:39
21E. StaalC000-110.101005710:22
40J. ArmiaR000-110.08100—09:44
77B. KulakD000010.02100—08:59
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)30291.9671.97+0.9758:14

Series

TBL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).