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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Final/OTTV NBC, CBC·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2 in overtime, Josh Anderson scoring at 3:57. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Anderson's goal at 3:57 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were TBL 34, MTL 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Anderson (2 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 A), 3. Carey Price (32 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Anderson2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Price32 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL0121811004234
MTLMTL15091512321

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(4)
    N. Suzuki (9), C. Caufield (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:39

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Goodrow(2)
    R. McDonagh (7), B. Coleman (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    17:20

3rd period

  1. MTL
    A. Romanov(1)
    J. Evans (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +30 pts
    1-2
    8:48
  2. TBL
    P. Maroon(2)
    M. Joseph (2), T. Johnson (3)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +35 pts
    2-2
    13:48

Overtime

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(5)
    C. Caufield (8)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    3:57

Penalties

TBL 12 PIM·MTL 20 PIM

1st

  • 16:33MTLJake Evans · Interferencedrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 16:33TBLBrayden Point · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 17:59MTLJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 20:00MTLJoel Edmundson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 20:00TBLPatrick Maroon · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

2nd

  • 5:50TBLBrayden Point · High stickingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 9:43MTLCorey Perry · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 14:28MTLJoel Armia · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

3rd

  • 7:42MTLJeff Petry · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 7:42MTLBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 7:42MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 7:42TBLBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 7:42TBLBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 7:42TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 18:59MTLShea Weber · High sticking double minordrawn by Ondrej Palat4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Anderson, OT 3:57 — MTL 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.22J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.16J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.11P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.07B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.06J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.03J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01
MTL3 G · 1.6 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
2.92 G
All situations
3 G1.6
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.1
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL75%25%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 1.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
34
Shots on goal
21
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/5
Power play
0/1
12
Penalty minutes
20
36
Hits
35
16
Blocked shots
19
13
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000040.12130—27:02
86N. KucherovR000040.77100—24:39
27R. McDonaghD011000.00330—24:23
21B. PointC000020.292044022:19
71A. CirelliC000-120.031006020:51
98M. SergachevD000030.18010—20:17
81E. CernakD000000.01520—19:56
91S. StamkosC000-110.20200019:35
37Y. GourdeC000-100.012124719:33
18O. PalatL000020.215003316:53
44J. RuttaD000-140.07010—14:59
19B. GoodrowC101020.115126714:35
20B. ColemanL011050.26512—14:22
14P. MaroonL101030.20002—12:20
79R. ColtonC000-100.19210011:39
58D. SavardD000-110.03010—11:11
9T. JohnsonC011+110.230005010:33
7M. JosephR011000.02210—08:38
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)21183.8571.55-1.4563:57

Series

TBL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).