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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Coleman's goal at 19:58 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 43, TBL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Carey Price stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.8 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (42 saves, .977), 2. Blake Coleman (1 G), 3. Anthony Cirelli (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy42 saves, .977
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Coleman1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL013116014143
TBLTBL0627110323

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(5)
    T. Johnson (2), J. Rutta (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    6:40
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(6)PPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    10:36
  3. TBL
    B. Coleman(2)
    B. Goodrow (3), R. McDonagh (6)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    19:58

3rd period

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    15:42

Penalties

MTL 20 PIM·TBL 20 PIM

1st

  • 5:29MTLJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 9:57MTLPaul Byron · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 17:27MTLPaul Byron · Slashingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 17:27TBLErik Cernak · Cross checkingdrawn by Paul Byron2 min
  • 17:32TBLRyan McDonagh · High sticking double minordrawn by Phillip Danault4 min

2nd

  • 10:03TBLMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 16:38MTLJoel Armia · High stickingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

3rd

  • 20:00TBLAnthony Cirelli · Cross checkingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 20:00TBLAnthony Cirelli · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00MTLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 20:00MTLCorey Perry · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Coleman, 2nd 19:58 — TBL 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Missed · xG 0.16B. Point · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.13B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.11P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.09T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.08O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.08B. Point · Missed · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.07O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.02D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
3.41 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.40 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL70%30%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.33 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
43
Shots on goal
23
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/3
20
Penalty minutes
20
36
Hits
40
10
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD000-130.09410—24:19
6S. WeberD000-120.02210—23:28
44J. EdmundsonD000-120.09400—22:08
26J. PetryD000-250.21202—21:37
73T. ToffoliC000-230.50210019:52
14N. SuzukiC101-190.842006018:51
24P. DanaultC000-110.042106118:04
41P. ByronL000010.02414—15:30
15J. KotkaniemiC000040.142103815:29
17J. AndersonR000040.46110—15:12
40J. ArmiaR000-120.21202—14:03
94C. PerryR000-110.161012—14:03
22C. CaufieldR000-120.38010—13:00
11B. GallagherR000010.042105011:51
28J. MerrillD000-100.00110—11:40
62A. LehkonenL000000.04300—11:30
32E. GustafssonD000010.03200—10:30
21E. StaalC000-220.100006009:28
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)23203.8702.16-0.8458:09

Series

TBL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).