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Stars at Predators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
0
Nashville Predators
▸1
Final/OTTV ESPN+, BSSW+·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Dallas Stars 1-0 in overtime, Erik Haula scoring at 3:32. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Haula's goal at 3:32 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 28, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Erik Haula (1 G), 2. Juuse Saros (28 saves, 1.000), 3. Anton Khudobin (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    E. Haula1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros28 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL0120110500028
NSHNSH060140915134

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

  1. NSH
    E. Haula(8)
    M. Ekholm (16)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +49 pts
    0-1
    3:32

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:38DALAnton Khudobin · Trippingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 11:14NSHAlexandre Carrier · Interferencedrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

2nd

  • 11:11DALAndrew Cogliano · Roughingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 11:11NSHMatt Benning · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 11:11DALBlake Comeau · Roughingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 11:11NSHErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

3rd

  • 15:30NSHErik Gudbranson · Embellishment2 min
  • 15:30DALJason Robertson · Cross checkingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

OT

  • 0:58DALJason Robertson · Hookingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDAL goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Haula, OT 3:32 — NSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.34E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.22C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.18E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.14R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.14T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.13M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.12B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.08M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH1 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNSH
1.40 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.30 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL23%77%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.37 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNSH
28
Shots on goal
34
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/2
10
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-120.21100—24:31
23E. LindellD000030.11140—23:07
3J. KlingbergD000-140.08010—22:45
2J. OleksiakD000010.01210—20:09
5A. SekeraD000020.03030—20:02
12R. FaksaC000010.071005019:28
21J. RobertsonL000030.25204—19:26
15B. ComeauL000-110.0301210018:54
14J. BennL000-110.201002518:14
24R. HintzC000000.001007118:09
16J. PavelskiC000010.140105717:39
11A. CoglianoC000010.04212016:21
45S. VatanenD000030.03010—15:24
64T. KeroC000010.03000012:56
25J. KivirantaL000010.05000—11:13
13M. PysykD000030.11000—10:01
49R. GardnerC000000.003007509:42
18J. DickinsonC000000.00320009:09
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(O)34331.9712.83+1.8363:32

Season series

NSH leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).