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Predators at Stars
NHL

Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Dallas Stars
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, FS-SW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Nashville Predators 3-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 6:32 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 71% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were NSH 17, DAL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 19 of 22 (.864); Anton Khudobin stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (1 G, 2 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G, 2 A), 3. Viktor Arvidsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0413110217
DALDAL1611115322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    D. Gurianov(2)PPG
    J. Pavelski (3), R. Hintz (3)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    14:55

2nd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(1)PPG
    J. Pavelski (4), A. Khudobin (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:32
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(4)PPG
    V. Arvidsson (3), R. Johansen (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    14:55

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(3)PPG
    R. Hintz (4), J. Klingberg (4)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    4:51
  2. NSH
    M. Granlund(1)
    V. Arvidsson (4)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    9:59

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:51DALMark Pysyk · Holdingdrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min
  • 11:52DALMark Pysyk · Holdingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min
  • 14:28NSHNick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min

2nd

  • 4:33NSHRocco Grimaldi · Trippingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 7:38NSHMark Borowiecki · Interferencedrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 13:04DALserved by A. Radulov · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 2:56NSHViktor Arvidsson · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 11:54DALJohn Klingberg · Holdingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNSH goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 2nd 6:32 — DAL 71% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.15J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.14M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.13D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.13J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.13D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.13N. Caamano · On goal · xG 0.13J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.12D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.12D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.11D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.08J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06T. Kero · Missed · xG 0.06A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.05J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01
DAL3 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDAL
1.82 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.11 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.71 G
Power play
3 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH30%70%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDAL
17
Shots on goal
22
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
18
26
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000010.09110—24:58
4R. EllisD000010.07150—24:48
14M. EkholmD000+110.05040—22:14
64M. GranlundC101+110.1111010021:58
92R. JohansenC011+100.001006520:13
33V. ArvidssonL022+150.48002—19:31
57D. FabbroD000+120.20050—19:11
9F. ForsbergL101040.25210—19:05
95M. DucheneC000010.171002517:25
11L. KuninC000000.04210015:25
56E. HaulaL000000.100105814:13
90M. BorowieckiD000000.03432—12:52
21N. CousinsC000000.00002012:07
55L. SbisaD000000.11320—11:58
15B. RichardsonR000010.111005611:31
23R. GrimaldiR000000.01212—10:26
10C. SissonsC000000.004104010:19
13Y. TreninC000000.00100006:35
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)22193.8642.89-0.1158:50

Season series

NSH leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).