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Predators at Stars
NHL

Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
0
Dallas Stars
▸7
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-SW+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Nashville Predators 7-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 4:11 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were NSH 34, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.2 goals below expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (2 G, 2 A), 2. Anton Khudobin (34 saves, 1.000), 3. Alexander Radulov (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin34 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Radulov2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH010014010034
DALDAL0551528728

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(1)PPG
    A. Radulov (1), M. Heiskanen (1)
    snapxG 0.36win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    2:45
  2. DAL
    A. Radulov(1)PPG
    J. Pavelski (1)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:11
  3. DAL
    D. Gurianov(1)PPG
    J. Klingberg (1), R. Hintz (1)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    10:18
  4. DAL
    A. Radulov(2)
    J. Kiviranta (1), J. Pavelski (2)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    14:40
  5. DAL
    E. Lindell(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    16:41

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(2)PPG
    R. Hintz (2), J. Klingberg (2)
    deflectedxG 0.09
    0-6
    4:35
  2. DAL
    J. Kiviranta(1)PPG
    J. Klingberg (3), J. Dickinson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10
    0-7
    14:52

Penalties

NSH 16 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 11:40NSHMatt Benning · Holdingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 16:04DALDenis Gurianov · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min

2nd

  • 1:23NSHNick Cousins · Holding the stickdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min
  • 2:15NSHBrad Richardson · Slashingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 6:52DALAndrej Sekera · Interferencedrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 9:22NSHMatt Benning · Trippingdrawn by Nick Caamano2 min
  • 11:44DALJamie Benn · Holding the stickdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 15:03DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 19:17NSHMathieu Olivier · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min

3rd

  • 3:52NSHMark Borowiecki · Trippingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
  • 9:44DALTy Dellandrea · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 13:32NSHMark Borowiecki · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:59NSHRyan Johansen · High stickingdrawn by Nick Caamano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNSH goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Radulov, 2nd 4:11 — DAL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.36J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindell · Goal · xG 0.12D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.12A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.12D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.10J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10J. Kiviranta · Goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.09D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.08M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.08A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Caamano · On goal · xG 0.05A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.05R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL7 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDAL
2.80 G
All situations
7 G2.4
1.50 G
Even strength
1 G0.8
1.30 G
Power play
5 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH56%44%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDAL
34
Shots on goal
28
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/5
Power play
5/8
16
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-260.28020—23:47
14M. EkholmD000010.04030—23:27
4R. EllisD000-130.24020—22:52
92R. JohansenC000-220.240026118:57
33V. ArvidssonL000-240.3100010017:53
64M. GranlundC000040.450205017:51
9F. ForsbergL000-240.39110—17:40
57D. FabbroD000030.05010—15:51
95M. DucheneC000-130.320006115:27
56E. HaulaL000010.082004315:07
90M. BorowieckiD000000.02214—14:23
5M. BenningD000010.01204—14:14
21N. CousinsC000000.00102013:42
10C. SissonsC000000.000106013:33
15B. RichardsonR000000.093125513:27
11L. KuninC000010.16100012:49
25M. OlivierR000010.07102—10:06
13Y. TreninC000000.00100007:58
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)20155.7501.81-3.1939:57
35P. Rinne862.7500.63-1.3720:00

Season series

NSH leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).