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Wild at Coyotes
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV ESPN+, BSAZ+·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Goligoski's goal at 1:15 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 11% to 28%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 24, ARI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Darcy Kuemper stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Greenway (1 G), 3. Christian Fischer (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Greenway1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Fischer1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1921025524
ARIARI1701017224

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(18)PPG
    N. Bonino (10), K. Fiala (13)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    9:19
  2. ARI
    C. Fischer(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:28

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Greenway(6)
    M. Foligno (11), J. Eriksson Ek (8)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:37
  2. MIN
    M. Johansson(6)PPG
    M. Dumba (10), R. Suter (15)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    9:38

3rd period

  1. ARI
    A. Goligoski(3)
    J. Chychrun (19), C. Keller (19)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    1:15
  2. MIN
    K. Fiala(15)
    C. Soucy (14), I. Cole (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    6:20
  3. MIN
    J. Brodin(6)EN
    M. Dumba (11), N. Bonino (11)
    backhandxG 0.46win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:53

Penalties

MIN 2 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:53ARIJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min
  • 10:08ARIConor Garland · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 18:58MINIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by John Hayden2 min

2nd

  • 8:11ARIClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalMIN goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Goligoski, 3rd 1:15 — ARI 11% → 28%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.16C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.12M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.11A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.10J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Fischer · Goal · xG 0.09A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · Goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.00J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 1.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsARI
2.74 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN57%43%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 1.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsARI
24
Shots on goal
24
31%
Faceoffs
69%
2/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
45
14
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD022+110.06230—23:34
25J. BrodinD101+110.46350—21:12
46J. SpurgeonD000-120.16020—20:49
20R. SuterD011-120.03000—20:46
38R. HartmanR000+110.233003316:42
13N. BoninoC022+120.240204316:03
28I. ColeD011+100.00102—15:45
36M. ZuccarelloR000-210.13000—15:42
97K. KaprizovL101-140.43200—15:33
14J. Eriksson EkC011+100.001004215:32
17M. FolignoL011+100.00400—15:19
21C. SoucyD011+100.00100—15:19
90M. JohanssonL101+130.37200—15:11
22K. FialaL112+110.10000—15:07
49V. RaskC000-200.001001415:03
18J. GreenwayL101040.28200—14:32
11Z. PariseL000+120.18010—13:34
7N. SturmC000+100.002102012:43
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)24222.9171.84-0.1659:34

Season series

MIN leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).