Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bonino's goal at 6:03 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.1 to 1.5; shots on goal were ARI 22, MIN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Cam Talbot stopped 21 of 22 (.955). Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 2. Cam Talbot (21 saves, .955), 3. Jared Spurgeon.
Three stars
- ★K. Fiala1 G, 1 A

- ★★C. Talbot21 saves, .955

- ★★★J. Spurgeon

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-013:27
2nd period
1-16:35
3rd period
1-26:03
1-311:10
1-419:55
Penalties
1st
- 1:05
Kirill Kaprizov · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
2nd
- 0:20
Tyler Pitlick · Trippingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min
- 3:40
Nick Bonino · Trippingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
- 14:48
Jakob Chychrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 3:41
Nick Bonino · Hookingdrawn by Jason Demers2 min
- 9:15
Dryden Hunt · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Bonino, 3rd 6:03 — 52% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.51 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.1
- 1.31 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.8
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 3.17
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 19
- Hits
- 15
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 9
- Giveaways
- 10
- 3
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
