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Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A, FS-N·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 5-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Hunt's goal at 13:18 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 27, ARI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 A), 2. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN391919527
ARIARI0601217125

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:27
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:18
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    14:27

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    5:08

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    4:59
  2. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24
    5-1
    18:46

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·ARI 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:03ARIPhil Kessel · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min
  • 16:38MINIan Cole · Holding the stickdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

2nd

  • 9:28ARIConor Garland · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 11:54ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 15:48MINIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

3rd

  • 8:43ARIJohan Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 10:00MINJordan Greenway · Hookingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalMIN goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Brad Hunt, 1st 13:18 — MIN 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.26T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.14C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.12D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.12J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.09T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.07J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.07C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.07D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.06C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.05C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.05J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 1.8 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsARI
3.25 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.95 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN73%27%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsARI
27
Shots on goal
25
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000+240.06010—24:45
24M. DumbaD000+220.11110—21:30
25J. BrodinD011+110.05060—20:07
14J. Eriksson EkC000+120.250105219:10
46J. SpurgeonD000+100.05200—19:08
97K. KaprizovL022+130.36000—18:59
36M. ZuccarelloR112+120.160005018:55
22K. FialaL101+151.01000—17:43
28I. ColeD000+110.02014—16:05
17M. FolignoL022+200.00100—15:52
49V. RaskC000+110.091002714:32
11Z. PariseL000+100.06200—14:10
18J. GreenwayL112+220.272125014:00
77B. HuntD101+130.22000—13:27
27N. BjugstadC101+210.221104613:04
13N. BoninoC000000.130004412:37
7N. SturmC000000.08300011:17
37K. RauC000000.04020009:08
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)25241.9601.83+0.8359:31

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).