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Coyotes at Wild
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV NHLN, BSAZ·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 7:28 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 1.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were ARI 30, MIN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 3.2 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mats Zuccarello (2 G), 2. Cam Talbot (28 saves, .933), 3. Nick Bonino (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    C. Talbot28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    N. Bonino1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0911318230
MINMIN172926522

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(7)PPG
    M. Johansson (5), M. Dumba (8)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    16:31

2nd period

  1. ARI
    J. Chychrun(13)PPG
    N. Schmaltz (17), A. Goligoski (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    2:16
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(5)
    N. Bonino (6), N. Sturm (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    7:28
  3. MIN
    N. Bonino(5)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (19), K. Fiala (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    19:14

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(8)PPG
    M. Johansson (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    4:30
  2. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(5)
    Z. Parise (11), N. Bonino (7)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    5:50
  3. ARI
    P. Kessel(16)
    D. Hunt (3), J. Larsson (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    8:36

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 15:00ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 19:14MINKevin Fiala · Holdingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 1:14MINJonas Brodin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:48ARITyler Pitlick · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min

3rd

  • 0:40MINMarcus Foligno · High stickingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 3:00ARIJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 12:56MINMarcus Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 2nd 7:28 — MIN 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.24N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.10C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.09J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.08R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.03J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 1.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
1.52 G
All situations
5 G1.8
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.51 G
Power play
3 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI42%58%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
22
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
3/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
12
2
Giveaways
6
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD011000.00120—24:28
6J. ChychrunD101-110.12022—21:26
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-110.05112—20:13
81P. KesselR101040.35000—19:11
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.00220—18:00
22J. LarssonL011+100.071106317:28
4N. HjalmarssonD000000.00040—16:36
18C. DvorakC000030.250003815:59
9C. KellerR000040.14200—15:29
16D. BrassardC000010.080005015:07
58M. BuntingL000-110.10100—15:04
8N. SchmaltzC011-220.090003814:41
83C. GarlandR000-210.0000010014:26
55J. DemersD000+150.07300—14:23
28D. HuntL011+120.07210—14:22
67L. CrouseL000020.10020—13:17
17T. PitlickC000020.01212013:09
36C. FischerR000000.00100—11:14
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(L)22175.7731.83-3.1760:00

Season series

MIN leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).