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Red Wings at Predators
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
0
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV FS-D, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathieu Olivier's goal at 10:41 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 31, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Juuse Saros stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Mikael Granlund (1 G), 3. Mathieu Olivier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Granlund1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Olivier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET08012011031
NSHNSH11211507234

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Granlund(6)PPG
    R. Josi (15), E. Tolvanen (6)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    13:59

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Olivier(2)
    Y. Trenin (3), C. Sissons (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    10:41

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:41DETAdam Erne · Interferencedrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

2nd

  • 4:56NSHViktor Arvidsson · Trippingdrawn by Jon Merrill2 min
  • 7:51DETVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 15:32NSHMathieu Olivier · Boardingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min

3rd

  • 15:36DETDylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 15:36NSHErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 18:15NSHDante Fabbro · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDET goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Mathieu Olivier, 2nd 10:41 — NSH 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.42E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.41V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.22M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.19M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.18M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.18V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.14R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.14C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.14R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.11M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.11R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNSH
2.30 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.50 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET50%50%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNSH
31
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
7
9
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000030.09000—24:36
39A. ManthaR000020.1012010021:33
71D. LarkinC000020.341024421:10
14R. FabbriC000030.22210020:37
41L. GlendeningC000020.140007517:13
21D. CholowskiD000000.03000—16:25
89S. GagnerC000030.110003316:08
18M. StaalD000000.02000—16:02
11F. ZadinaR000-120.15010—15:56
43D. HelmC000040.40000015:54
54B. RyanR000-120.14110—15:51
24J. MerrillD000-120.03020—15:23
65D. DeKeyserD000010.01000—15:12
73A. ErneL000010.09202—15:10
70T. StecherD000-100.00010—14:42
22P. NemethD000010.01010—13:34
92V. NamestnikovC000010.032022912:18
27M. RasmussenC000-120.352006711:28
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss(L)34322.9412.26+0.2656:30

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).