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Hurricanes at Stars
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Dallas Stars
3
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-SW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Dallas Stars 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 3:58 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals were close — CAR 3.4, DAL 3.6; shots on goal were CAR 32, DAL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. James Reimer stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G), 3. Nino Niederreiter (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11321029532
DALDAL09318010337

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(3)PPG
    J. Staal (8), V. Trocheck (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    16:01

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Pysyk(1)
    J. Robertson (2), D. Gurianov (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:16
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(3)
    A. Svechnikov (5), B. Pesce (5)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:46
  3. DAL
    R. Hintz(4)
    D. Gurianov (7), J. Robertson (3)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:25
  4. DAL
    J. Pavelski(8)PPG
    J. Klingberg (9), M. Heiskanen (8)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    11:28
  5. CAR
    B. McGinn(5)
    B. Pesce (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    19:33

3rd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(6)
    D. Hamilton (8), V. Trocheck (5)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +27 pts
    4-3
    3:58
  2. CAR
    W. Foegele(3)EN
    S. Aho (8)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +3 pts
    5-3
    19:06

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:01CARNino Niederreiter · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 11:54DALJamie Oleksiak · Interferencedrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 13:32CARMorgan Geekie · Holdingdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min
  • 15:37DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 19:23CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

2nd

  • 9:50CARNino Niederreiter · Interferencedrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 10:40CARserved by R. Dzingel · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 15:55DALMark Pysyk · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCAR goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, 3rd 3:58 — CAR 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.38R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.21J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.18R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.16B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.16J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.15B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.15J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.15J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.11T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.09D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.08A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.07T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.07E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pysyk · Goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.06D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Caamano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDAL
3.44 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR31%69%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 3.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDAL
32
Shots on goal
37
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
39
17
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD022+220.04020—23:33
76B. SkjeiD000+210.01120—23:11
74J. SlavinD000010.06110—20:49
19D. HamiltonD011020.33110—19:51
11J. StaalC112010.193007119:43
16V. TrocheckC022+230.542005319:06
23B. McGinnL101+230.07020—17:47
20S. AhoC112+130.141103317:37
37A. SvechnikovR011+140.23302—15:53
4H. FleuryD000010.01050—15:41
86T. TeravainenC000010.08110015:17
21N. NiederreiterR101+250.67104—14:47
48J. MartinookL000-110.002005714:46
51J. GardinerD000010.00100—13:16
13W. FoegeleL101+120.95010—13:05
71J. FastR000-100.00110—10:33
18R. DzingelC000000.00000009:41
67M. GeekieC000-110.071022905:18
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)37343.9193.63+0.6360:00

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).