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Stars at Hurricanes
NHL

Dallas Stars at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
0
Carolina Hurricanes
▸1
FinalTV NBCSN, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Dallas Stars 1-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 0:40 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 28, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Petr Mrazek (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Jordan Martinook (1 G), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    P. Mrazek28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL06010012028
CARCAR01111809138

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(2)
    V. Trocheck (15), B. Pesce (17)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:40

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:16DALJake Oettinger · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 13:27DALBlake Comeau · Roughingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min
  • 13:27CARCedric Paquette · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDAL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 2nd 0:40 — CAR 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.70M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.29W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.27B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.23A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.19D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.16W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.13J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.12J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.11J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.10B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.08J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.07B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.07H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01
CAR1 G · 3.9 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCAR
1.40 G
All situations
1 G3.9
1.00 G
Even strength
1 G3.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL19%81%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.36 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCAR
28
Shots on goal
38
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/0
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
2
35
Hits
54
20
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000-100.00420—26:29
4M. HeiskanenD000020.07030—24:46
23E. LindellD000020.04530—22:49
21J. RobertsonL000050.35110—21:51
24R. HintzC000-120.092103320:32
2J. OleksiakD000-110.05630—19:33
16J. PavelskiC000020.181103819:31
14J. BennL000040.201205518:10
37J. DowlingC000010.014005017:24
34D. GurianovR000010.02500—16:14
5A. SekeraD000000.01020—15:46
15B. ComeauL000-110.100025012:57
49R. GardnerC000010.010002511:07
64T. KeroC000020.03200010:43
13M. PysykD000010.01210—10:37
11A. CoglianoC000-110.07000010:35
10T. DellandreaC000000.1101010009:38
17N. CaamanoR000020.04200—09:23
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)38371.9743.23+2.2357:55

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).