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Hurricanes at Stars
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Dallas Stars
▸4
Final/OTTV NBCSN, KTXA·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in overtime, Jamie Benn scoring at 2:44. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 2:44 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were CAR 32, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. James Reimer stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.0 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (1 G, 3 A), 2. Denis Gurianov (1 G), 3. Morgan Geekie (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    D. Gurianov1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Geekie2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR0142111700332
DALDAL2111140511431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(21)PPG
    J. Robertson (24), J. Benn (18)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    1:19
  2. DAL
    J. Dickinson(6)
    E. Lindell (11), J. Benn (19)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:59

2nd period

  1. CAR
    M. McCormick(1)
    M. Geekie (3), C. Paquette (4)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    13:24
  2. CAR
    J. Slavin(3)
    S. Aho (26), N. Niederreiter (14)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    16:28
  3. DAL
    D. Gurianov(11)
    J. Benn (20)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    17:04

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Hakanpää(2)
    M. Geekie (4), J. Staal (20)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    15:46

Overtime

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(11)
    J. Robertson (25)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    2:44

Penalties

CAR 2 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:16CARDougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 13:57DALRadek Faksa · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 17:56DALMiro Heiskanen · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCAR goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, OT 2:44 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.23J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.22J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.19J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.18J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.17M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.17D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.16J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.16J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.12D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.12J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.11M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.03T. Kero · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 3.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDAL
2.53 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.03 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR42%58%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDAL
32
Shots on goal
31
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
24
8
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD101-130.20010—24:31
19D. HamiltonD000030.27002—23:46
88M. NecasC000+130.14300022:52
22B. PesceD000030.21020—22:41
21N. NiederreiterR011010.01200—22:33
16V. TrocheckC000-120.054004221:55
20S. AhoC011+120.310103620:46
37A. SvechnikovR000030.21200—19:49
51J. GardinerD000010.01010—18:35
11J. StaalC011-100.001005017:11
13W. FoegeleL000-130.49000—16:50
58J. HakanpääD101+110.04210—16:25
78S. LorentzC000010.091003314:44
18C. PaquetteC011-120.17110011:43
67M. GeekieC022+210.07100011:40
24J. BeanD000+110.05000—10:29
28M. McCormickL101+110.16010—06:54
33J. RyanD000010.04100—03:45
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(O)31274.8713.01-0.9962:44

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).