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St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-MW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Ducks scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sammy Blais's goal at 14:59 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — STL 1.9, ANA 1.8; shots on goal were STL 23, ANA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.8 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (2 G), 2. Ville Husso (25 saves, .962), 3. Rickard Rakell.

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Husso25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Rakell

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0627210423
ANAANA1701009126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    4:54

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Faulk (1), T. Krug (4)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    10:13
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:59

3rd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    1:07
  2. STL
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    2:17

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:47STLSammy Blais · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 6:17STLBrayden Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Carter Rowney2 min

2nd

  • 0:25ANAHampus Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 19:18ANAMaxime Comtois · Holdingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSTL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Sammy Blais, 2nd 14:59 — STL 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.15J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.15R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.10R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.08A. Agozzino · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.08D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.08R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.03D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 1.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsANA
1.94 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.53 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL51%49%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsANA
23
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
31
18
Blocked shots
23
12
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD011+100.00000—22:44
72J. FaulkD011+100.00220—22:34
29V. DunnD000+100.07210—21:30
55C. ParaykoD101+130.09410—19:58
90R. O'ReillyC011030.151107118:32
17J. SchwartzL000+110.11010—17:19
10B. SchennC202+160.411022516:53
57D. PerronL011000.00000—16:22
12Z. SanfordL000010.09220—15:56
77N. MikkolaD000+220.18140—15:29
68M. HoffmanC011+210.14110015:27
18R. ThomasC011+200.111104014:57
25J. KyrouR000+110.03000—14:33
6M. ScandellaD000000.00210—13:44
9S. BlaisL101+210.12302—13:27
49I. BarbashevL000020.292102913:17
70O. SundqvistC000010.09110013:11
13K. CliffordL000010.02310—12:20
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)26251.9621.83+0.8359:33

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).