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St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FS-MW, FS-SD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Sanford's goal at 0:57 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 58% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were STL 30, ANA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Ryan Miller stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (2 G, 1 A), 2. Justin Faulk, 3. Isac Lundeström.

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Faulk
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    I. Lundestrom

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL31111227630
ANAANA1901005124

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:20
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    0:57
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    2:06
  4. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    16:59

2nd period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    7:30

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    2:59
  2. STL
    V. Dunn(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.07
    6-1
    5:17

Penalties

STL 13 PIM·ANA 11 PIM

1st

  • 3:31ANARyan Getzlaf · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Clifford5 min
  • 3:31STLKyle Clifford · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf5 min
  • 9:00ANARickard Rakell · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 13:16STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:06STLVince Dunn · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min

3rd

  • 3:22ANASam Steel · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 11:51STLJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 19:53ANAMax Jones · Cross checkingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 19:53STLNiko Mikkola · Roughingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSTL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Zachary Sanford, 1st 0:57 — STL 58% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.24J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.14M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.12D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.10D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.09D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.09I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.09R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.07D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.07D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.07D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.06H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jones · Goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01
ANA1 G · 2.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsANA
3.56 G
All situations
1 G2.1
2.75 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL72%28%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.41 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsANA
30
Shots on goal
24
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
11
25
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
10
15
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6M. ScandellaD000000.02010—20:56
55C. ParaykoD011+110.11310—20:55
72J. FaulkD000+440.09610—20:54
29V. DunnD101020.13022—17:58
47T. KrugD011+330.45010—17:31
77N. MikkolaD000000.00212—17:11
17J. SchwartzL011+210.09002—16:34
70O. SundqvistC011030.193205416:19
90R. O'ReillyC011+210.140106016:11
10B. SchennC022+210.011005516:05
49I. BarbashevL000000.132005015:42
12Z. SanfordL101+230.40200—15:23
68M. HoffmanC011010.17000014:56
18R. ThomasC000010.380102513:23
57D. PerronL112+250.71000—13:20
13K. CliffordL101+110.12105—12:56
25J. KyrouR213+130.38000—12:51
9S. BlaisL000000.00500—12:42
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)24231.9582.13+1.1360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).