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Ducks at Blues
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
St. Louis Blues
2
Final/OTTV FS-MW, FS-SD·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Josh Manson scoring at 1:42. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Manson's goal at 1:42 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were ANA 24, STL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Manson (1 G), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Max Jones (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Manson1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    M. Jones2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA010161711324
STLSTL21401501100240

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(12)
    V. Tarasenko (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:27
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(2)PPG
    T. Krug (17), D. Perron (22)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    15:59

2nd period

  1. ANA
    C. Fowler(3)
    R. Getzlaf (12), M. Jones (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    8:24

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(10)
    M. Jones (3)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    2:13

Overtime

  1. ANA
    J. Manson(1)
    A. Stolarz (1), J. Silfverberg (7)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:42

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:16STLNiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
  • 15:53ANAJani Hakanpää · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

2nd

  • 10:43ANAJosh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 6:37ANADerek Grant · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalANA goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Manson, OT 1:42 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.20K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.17R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.14J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.13T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.10T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.07J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.06J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.03T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.03J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSTL
2.13 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA35%65%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSTL
24
Shots on goal
40
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33J. SilfverbergR011+120.11000—21:05
22K. ShattenkirkD000-120.11110—20:01
4C. FowlerD101020.20110—19:49
49M. JonesL022+200.03110—18:22
42J. MansonD101+130.23212—18:13
7B. HuttonD000020.01130—18:10
28J. HakanpääD000+110.04422—18:10
15R. GetzlafC011+130.441004617:38
43D. HeinenL000010.08320—17:30
23S. SteelC000+100.001003617:16
14A. HenriqueC101+110.161004417:08
38D. GrantC000+230.251127916:45
61T. TerryR000020.26010—16:10
53M. ComtoisL000-110.20200—15:56
45A. WelinskiD000+110.01200—13:25
32J. LarssonD000+100.00110—13:18
48I. LundestromC000-100.000006312:00
67R. RakellR000-100.00100—10:04
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)40382.9502.92+0.9261:42

Season series

STL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).