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Stars at Flames
NHL

Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
0
Calgary Flames
▸2
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-SW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Dallas Stars 2-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Backlund's goal at 5:58 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 35, CGY 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Cam Talbot stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 3.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Talbot (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Mikael Backlund (1 G), 3. TJ Brodie (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    C. Talbot35 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    T. Brodie1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL08016011035
CGYCGY0111418223

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(3)SHG
    E. Lindholm (3), R. Andersson (1)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    5:58

3rd period

  1. CGY
    T. Brodie(1)
    A. Quine (1), M. Giordano (3)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    10:36

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:15CGYMilan Lucic · Slashingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 15:44DALJason Dickinson · High stickingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min

2nd

  • 5:07CGYZac Rinaldo · Hookingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 19:21CGYTJ Brodie · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

3rd

  • 2:57DALJoe Pavelski · Trippingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 13:36CGYMikael Backlund · Hookingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDAL goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Mikael Backlund, 2nd 5:58 — CGY 49% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.30S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.21M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.16S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.10D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.10D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05T. Brodie · Goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.03D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 1.8 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCGY
3.10 G
All situations
2 G1.8
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL72%28%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.07 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCGY
35
Shots on goal
23
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
37
9
Blocked shots
22
7
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-120.21010—26:01
23E. LindellD000030.13110—23:33
3J. KlingbergD000-160.41310—23:24
2J. OleksiakD000030.12400—20:38
91T. SeguinC000040.570005018:21
47A. RadulovR000030.29000—17:48
16J. PavelskiC000020.212126717:20
24R. HintzC000-130.0932010017:00
34D. GurianovR000-110.20200—16:53
13M. JanmarkC000-130.241006016:28
10C. PerryR000-110.10100—16:21
14J. BennL000000.002004316:19
12R. FaksaC000-200.152003815:03
18J. DickinsonC000010.011022014:49
15B. ComeauL000-110.161105010:47
5A. SekeraD000-100.09210—10:02
11A. CoglianoC000000.05610009:52
42T. FedunD000020.06000—08:52
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)23212.9131.81-0.1956:29

Series

DAL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).