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Panthers at Islanders
NHL

Florida Panthers at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
New York Islanders
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Panthers scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 16:27 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.6, NYI 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 28, NYI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.1 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Eberle (2 G), 2. Ryan Pulock (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mike Hoffman (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Eberle2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Hoffman1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1811109228
NYINYI013310111434

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Hoffman(1)
    J. Huberdeau (1), K. Yandle (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    11:16

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Martin(1)
    T. Kuhnhackl (1), A. Greene (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:12
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(1)PPG
    K. Yandle (2), M. Hoffman (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    7:54
  3. NYI
    R. Pulock(1)PPG
    D. Toews (2), D. Brassard (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    13:48
  4. NYI
    J. Eberle(1)
    R. Pulock (1), M. Barzal (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:27

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(2)PPG
    A. Beauvillier (1), J. Bailey (2)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    10:29

Penalties

FLA 26 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:18FLAMike Matheson · High sticking double minordrawn by Brock Nelson4 min
  • 9:12NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Slashingdrawn by Colton Sceviour2 min
  • 15:26FLAMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Josh Bailey2 min

2nd

  • 7:38NYIBrock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 13:01FLAMike Hoffman · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 18:18NYIBrock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 19:20NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Brian Boyle2 min
  • 19:20FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Slashingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 19:20FLABrian Boyle · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 19:20FLABrian Boyle · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 1:48FLAAnton Stralman · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 9:10FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Slashingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalFLA goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 2nd 16:27 — NYI 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.17M. Martin · Goal · xG 0.15A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.13M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.13M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.12M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.12M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.12C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.05D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.04R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYI
2.62 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.31 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.80 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA46%54%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYI
28
Shots on goal
34
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/3
Power play
2/7
26
Penalty minutes
8
43
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
16
20
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+150.22200—25:39
16A. BarkovC101+130.263006423:33
52M. WeegarD000040.18422—22:22
6A. StralmanD000000.03222—20:07
63E. DadonovL000+110.43010—18:21
56E. HaulaL000000.123006318:19
3K. YandleD022-100.00000—17:54
11J. HuberdeauL011+130.30102—17:39
68M. HoffmanC112+130.25002015:53
55N. AcciariC000-100.005005715:01
19M. MathesonD000-200.00116—14:54
13M. PysykD000-140.40820—14:10
25B. KeeperD000-100.00220—13:13
28A. SaarelaC000010.014007512:46
10B. ConnollyR000-110.09210—11:41
7C. SceviourC000-110.18200011:34
77F. VatranoR000-110.06200—08:55
9B. BoyleC000-110.0922126008:24
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)34304.8822.86-1.1457:29

Series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).