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Islanders at Panthers
NHL

New York Islanders at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Florida Panthers
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Islanders 3-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 16:26 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 26% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYI 22, FLA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Mike Hoffman (1 G, 1 A), 2. MacKenzie Weegar, 3. Ryan Pulock (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Hoffman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Weegar
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0814110222
FLAFLA0611125322

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    E. Haula(1)PPG
    E. Dadonov (1), M. Hoffman (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    4:02
  2. NYI
    J. Pageau(2)
    A. Beauvillier (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    16:26

3rd period

  1. FLA
    M. Hoffman(2)PPG
    K. Yandle (3), A. Barkov (2)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    0:41
  2. FLA
    B. Boyle(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:48
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(1)
    R. Pulock (2), D. Toews (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    2-3
    18:33

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:00NYIScott Mayfield · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:31FLABrett Connolly · Holdingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

2nd

  • 2:53NYIserved by D. Brassard · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:58FLAAaron Ekblad · Interferencedrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 16:45NYIDerick Brassard · Boardingdrawn by Brett Connolly2 min
  • 17:58FLAAleksander Barkov · Hookingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min

3rd

  • 0:07NYISemyon Varlamov · Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
  • 7:24NYIAnders Lee · High stickingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 2nd 16:26 — NYI 26% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.64M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.36B. Boyle · Goal · xG 0.20M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.15J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.12J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.11E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.07E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.06K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.00E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsFLA
1.82 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Power play
2 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI48%52%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsFLA
22
Shots on goal
22
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
31
13
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000010.07200—21:12
25D. ToewsD011+110.03000—21:03
6R. PulockD011+110.17310—20:16
13M. BarzalC000+120.141006019:14
3A. PelechD000010.00430—19:09
29B. NelsonC101+130.323003818:18
18A. BeauvillierR011+140.53100—17:54
7J. EberleR000+140.20000—17:35
24S. MayfieldD000010.00152—17:29
4A. GreeneD000000.02110—17:19
12J. BaileyR000000.00100—17:13
27A. LeeL000+100.0730210017:09
44J. PageauC101+110.042004515:05
10D. BrassardC000-110.072027513:00
53C. CizikasC000-100.000204012:50
15C. ClutterbuckR000-100.00310—12:37
17M. MartinL000020.10100—09:46
14T. KuhnhacklR000+100.00000—07:56
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)22193.8641.85-1.1557:52

Series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).