New York Islanders at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 15:10 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYI 38, FLA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Beauvillier (2 G), 2. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Semyon Varlamov (24 saves, .960).
Three stars
- ★A. Beauvillier2 G

- ★★M. Barzal1 G, 1 A

- ★★★S. Varlamov24 saves, .960

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-011:32
2-015:10
2-118:41
2nd period
3-18:01
3rd period
4-110:34
5-117:17
Penalties
1st
- 3:57
Ryan Pulock · Trippingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
- 18:29
Jordan Eberle · Hookingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min
- 18:57
MacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
2nd
- 7:47
served by E. Dadonov · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 15:41
Brock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
- 18:44
Lucas Wallmark · Hookingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
3rd
- 2:05
Leo Komarov · Hookingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
- 19:29
Casey Cizikas · High stickingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 1st 15:10 — 61% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.94 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.5
- 1.73 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.6
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.40
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 38
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 40
- Hits
- 28
- 31
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 15
- Giveaways
- 11
- 8
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
