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Oilers at Predators
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸8
Nashville Predators
3
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Nashville Predators 8-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 4:42 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.6, NSH 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 35, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Pekka Rinne stopped 23 of 31 (.742), 5.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (4 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 4 A), 3. Kailer Yamamoto (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl4 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 4 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    K. Yamamoto1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM21418513835
NSHNSH01237011330

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    J. Archibald(11)
    T. Ennis (21), C. McDavid (59)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:23
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(40)
    C. McDavid (60), E. Bear (16)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    19:31

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(16)
    K. Turris (20), M. Granlund (13)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:14
  2. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(14)
    M. Duchene (28)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:28
  3. EDM
    K. Yamamoto(10)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (35), L. Draisaitl (64)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    13:34
  4. NSH
    N. Bonino(18)
    C. Smith (12), R. Grimaldi (21)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    15:05

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(32)
    J. Archibald (8), D. Nurse (22)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    4-3
    4:42
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(41)
    K. Yamamoto (13), R. Nugent-Hopkins (36)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    5:17
  3. EDM
    Z. Kassian(15)
    C. McDavid (61), D. Nurse (23)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    6-3
    7:03
  4. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(42)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (37)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    7-3
    8:28
  5. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(43)PPG
    C. McDavid (62), D. Nurse (24)
    wristxG 0.13
    8-3
    9:55

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·NSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:58EDMTyler Ennis · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 15:31EDMEthan Bear · Holdingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

3rd

  • 9:45NSHMattias Ekholm · Hookingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalEDM goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 3rd 4:42 — EDM 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.21N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.17C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.15M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.14N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.13R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.13C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.07R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.07R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.07C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.06C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.05R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tinordi · Missed · xG 0.01K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.00C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsNSH
2.68 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.47 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM51%49%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsNSH
35
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
10
17
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD033+220.03140—26:04
6A. LarssonD000+230.08520—25:08
82C. JonesD000+300.01200—21:48
74E. BearD011+310.00032—21:02
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC033+210.13100018:59
97C. McDavidC145+310.060006718:00
29L. DraisaitlC415+470.860003317:57
56K. YamamotoR112+320.32010—16:57
15J. ArchibaldR112+120.15100—14:41
63T. EnnisR011+220.04012—14:07
83M. BenningD000-110.01110—14:06
23R. SheahanC000-220.140006213:58
44Z. KassianR101-130.29200—13:19
16J. KhairaL000010.06220—13:00
28A. AthanasiouC000-130.31110012:00
4K. RussellD000-120.03120—11:51
39A. ChiassonR000+110.00000—11:47
91G. HaasC000010.040003011:16
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)30273.9002.56-0.4460:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).