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Predators at Oilers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
FinalTV FS-TN, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Nashville Predators 3-2. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 13:02 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 58% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were NSH 29, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Mike Smith stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 2. Mike Smith (27 saves, .931), 3. Connor McDavid (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Smith27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH11019010229
EDMEDM07116213336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(12)
    R. Josi (40), R. Johansen (20)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:17

2nd period

  1. NSH
    N. Bonino(17)
    D. Hamhuis (7)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    17:06
  2. EDM
    A. Chiasson(8)PPG
    C. McDavid (51), O. Klefbom (26)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    19:51

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(30)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (24), K. Yamamoto (7)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +26 pts
    2-2
    3:42
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(31)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (25), O. Klefbom (27)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    13:02

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 14:33EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 15:17NSHCraig Smith · High stickingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 1:33EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 18:38NSHDante Fabbro · Hookingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

3rd

  • 4:00EDMSam Gagner · High stickingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 11:13EDMConnor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 11:13NSHMikael Granlund · Embellishmentdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 12:45NSHJarred Tinordi · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 14:46NSHMikael Granlund · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNSH goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 3rd 13:02 — EDM 58% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.35L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.20A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.17A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.17K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.15A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.10S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.09K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.08J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.04D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.04J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01
EDM3 G · 3.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsEDM
3.52 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.72 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.60 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH47%53%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
36
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/3
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
22
12
Giveaways
20
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000-120.04030—27:14
59R. JosiD011+150.31110—27:06
57D. FabbroD000+110.06112—23:54
8K. TurrisC000-100.111105421:56
9F. ForsbergL000-120.06000—20:03
64M. GranlundC000030.82204019:30
92R. JohansenC011+141.080004519:16
95M. DucheneC000+120.3710010018:51
24J. TinordiD000-100.01322—17:21
33V. ArvidssonL000-110.082005015:59
5D. HamhuisD011+110.04010—13:45
15C. SmithC101+230.29002012:46
13N. BoninoC101+120.170102312:35
23R. GrimaldiR000+110.07000—10:34
10C. SissonsC000000.001102709:37
42C. BlackwellC000000.00220008:41
7Y. WeberD000+120.03010—08:10
32Y. TreninC000000.00200007:11
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)36333.9173.17+0.1758:10

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).