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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
St. Louis Blues
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vince Dunn's goal at 19:23 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.5 to 3.6; shots on goal were COL 28, STL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 30 of 34 (.882); Jordan Binnington stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Perron (3 G), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (2 A), 3. Vince Dunn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Perron3 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Dunn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0621309228
STLSTL11529211535

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(13)
    R. O'Reilly (24), O. Sundqvist (6)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:51

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(11)
    R. Graves (8)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:55
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(9)PPG
    S. Girard (11), N. MacKinnon (31)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    9:35
  3. STL
    D. Perron(14)PPG
    A. Pietrangelo (17), J. Schwartz (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    18:47
  4. STL
    V. Dunn(5)PPG
    T. Bozak (10), J. Faulk (8)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    19:23

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(1)
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    11:24
  2. STL
    D. Perron(15)EN
    O. Sundqvist (7), R. O'Reilly (25)
    wristxG 0.77win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:05

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:58COLMark Barberio · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 9:31COLCalle Rosen · Trippingdrawn by Mackenzie MacEachern2 min
  • 9:31STLMackenzie MacEachern · Embellishment2 min

2nd

  • 8:24STLAlexander Steen · Hookingdrawn by Mark Barberio2 min
  • 12:21STLRobert Bortuzzo · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 18:05COLNazem Kadri · High sticking double minordrawn by Colton Parayko4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Vince Dunn, 2nd 19:23 — STL 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.76J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.18D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.16J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.15D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.14R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.12O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.12B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.11B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.11A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.10V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.10M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.09R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.09V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.08A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.08A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.04R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01
STL5 G · 4.5 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
3.62 G
All situations
4 G4.5
2.81 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.81 G
Power play
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL48%52%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.50 – 3.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
28
Shots on goal
35
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
3
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. GravesD011-120.09120—22:55
16N. ZadorovD000-200.00300—22:54
49S. GirardD011-110.19150—21:18
28I. ColeD000+110.10020—21:06
96M. RantanenR101-230.320004020:08
29N. MacKinnonC011-240.540002719:09
44M. BarberioD000020.11212—18:14
91N. KadriC101-130.572045417:13
95A. BurakovskyL000-110.25020—16:45
92G. LandeskogL000030.502005016:27
41P. BellemareL000010.160005013:56
11M. CalvertL000010.13100—13:49
13V. NichushkinR000010.29500—13:06
72J. DonskoiR000-110.14000—12:42
37J. CompherL000-120.100004012:33
83M. NietoL000000.05000—12:03
17T. JostC000020.052006010:27
48C. RosenD000000.00112—10:15
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)34304.8823.71-0.2959:42

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).