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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV FS-TN, NBCSCH·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Predators came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 18:50 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 32% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were CHI 33, NSH 50. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Cam Ward stopped 45 of 49 (.918), 1.2 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G), 2. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dante Fabbro (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    D. Fabbro1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI28012013233
NSHNSH014222314550

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    B. Perlini(14)
    D. Strome (37), A. DeBrincat (35)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:58
  2. CHI
    D. Caggiula(12)
    P. Kane (66)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:07

2nd period

  1. NSH
    D. Fabbro(1)
    F. Forsberg (22), D. Hamhuis (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    9:07
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(28)
    M. Granlund (38), W. Simmonds (13)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    18:50

3rd period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(34)PPG
    C. Smith (17), P. Subban (22)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    3:33
  2. NSH
    C. Sissons(15)EN
    N. Bonino (18), R. Ellis (34)
    wristxG 0.54win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    17:51
  3. NSH
    N. Bonino(17)
    A. Watson (9)
    wristxG 0.06
    2-5
    19:03

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:33NSHKyle Turris · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

2nd

  • 13:41CHIJonathan Toews · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 16:43CHIserved by D. Strome · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:11CHIJohn Hayden · Slashingdrawn by Dan Hamhuis2 min
  • 5:46NSHDan Hamhuis · Holding the stickdrawn by Artem Anisimov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 2nd 18:50 — NSH 32% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.54F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.25A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.19A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.16C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.13B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.11M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.08W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.07K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · Goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.00B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 3.3 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
1.72 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI30%70%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
50
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
10
11
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
10
11
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
56E. GustafssonD000-240.25000—25:17
2D. KeithD000-330.09100—25:00
88P. KaneR011-120.11000—22:50
19J. ToewsC000-200.032126420:10
15A. AnisimovC000-140.300003019:35
20B. SaadL000030.08000—19:18
12A. DeBrincatR011-210.05000—17:54
7B. SeabrookD000010.00130—17:42
42G. ForslingD000000.00010—17:28
5C. MurphyD000020.03130—16:50
17D. StromeC011-150.230005616:09
24D. KahunC000010.1100010014:50
68S. KoekkoekD000+100.02220—14:33
91D. CaggiulaL101+120.11000—14:10
11B. PerliniL101040.25000—11:54
16M. KrugerC000-100.000107108:35
14C. KunitzL000000.00100—07:46
40J. HaydenC000010.04102005:55
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Ward(L)49454.9182.78-1.2259:42

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).