Predators at Blackhawks 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Nashville Predators

Chicago Blackhawks

▸2

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Nashville Predators 2-1. The Predators scored first; the Blackhawks answered. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gustav Forsling's goal at 15:22 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 32% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were NSH 31, CHI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Cam Ward stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Ward (30 saves, .968), 2. Pekka Rinne (34 saves, .944), 3. Erik Gustafsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

★
C. Ward30 saves, .968
★★
P. Rinne34 saves, .944
★★★
E. Gustafsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NSH	111	07	013	131
CHI	012	216	08	236

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

K. Fiala(6)
R. Johansen (25), M. Ekholm (19)
wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
1-0
19:27

2nd period

G. Forsling(2)
E. Gustafsson (10)
wristxG 0.03win prob +21 pts
1-1
15:22
E. Gustafsson(7)PPG
P. Kane (24), J. Toews (15)
slapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
1-2
17:16

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

2nd

0:44Kevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Kahun2 min
6:48Gustav Forsling · Holdingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
16:59Rocco Grimaldi · Trippingdrawn by Brent Seabrook2 min

3rd

6:12Ryan Ellis · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
8:35Cam Ward · Trippingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CHI

100%

Biggest swing: Gustav Forsling, 2nd 15:22 — CHI 32% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 3.9 xG · 42 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att CHI

2 G · 3.9 xG · 42 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.01 G
All situations: 2 G3.9; 2.61 G
Even strength: 1 G3.1; 0.40 G
Power play: 1 G0.7; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

38%62%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 3.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

31
Shots on goal: 36; 57%
Faceoffs: 43%; 0/2
Power play: 1/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 18
Hits: 16; 14
Blocked shots: 15; 3
Giveaways: 12; 7
Takeaways: 8

Box score

every player line

Nashville Predators skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
59R. JosiD	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	1	0	—	24:45
14M. EkholmD	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	2	0	0	—	23:28
4R. EllisD	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	0	3	2	—	22:57
92R. JohansenC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	1	0	0	50	20:49
5D. HamhuisD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	2	0	—	20:01
22K. FialaL	1	0	1	+1	6	0.58	2	0	2	—	19:17
38R. HartmanR	0	0	0	+1	5	0.61	1	2	0	—	18:06
19C. JarnkrokC	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	1	0	0	50	17:34
15C. SmithC	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	1	0	0	0	15:22
10C. SissonsC	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	0	0	14	14:53
51A. WatsonL	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	3	1	0	33	14:35
7Y. WeberD	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	0	0	—	14:32
13N. BoninoC	0	0	0	0	2	0.35	2	2	0	86	14:12
8K. TurrisC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	0	0	75	13:54
2A. BitettoD	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	2	1	0	—	12:18
23R. GrimaldiR	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	2	—	11:03
89F. GaudreauC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	67	10:44
20M. SalomakiR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	100	10:02

Nashville Predators goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35P. Rinne(L)	36	34	2	.944	3.85	+1.85	57:11

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

1st period

2nd period

2nd

3rd

Box score