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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
3
Final/OTTV NBCSN, SN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Filip Forsberg scoring at 1:00. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 1:00 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were NSH 37, CHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.7 goals below expected; Collin Delia stopped 33 of 37 (.892). Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G), 2. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G), 3. Patrick Kane (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kane2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH2171110811437
CHICHI1131111700331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Sissons(9)
    K. Fiala (18), M. Ekholm (26)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:49
  2. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(21)PPG
    P. Kane (33), E. Gustafsson (19)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    17:51
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(13)
    P. Subban (13), R. Johansen (29)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    17:59

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(15)PPG
    R. Josi (24), R. Johansen (30)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    16:26
  2. CHI
    J. Toews(18)SHG
    M. Kruger (3), C. Dahlstrom (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    19:40

3rd period

  1. CHI
    A. Anisimov(8)
    P. Kane (34), D. Keith (19)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    17:39

Overtime

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(16)
    M. Ekholm (27), C. Jarnkrok (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:00

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·CHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:03NSHDan Hamhuis · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 18:13CHIBrendan Perlini · High sticking double minordrawn by Dan Hamhuis4 min

2nd

  • 14:32CHIConnor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min
  • 19:24CHIDavid Kampf · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

3rd

  • 6:42NSHMatt Irwin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, OT 1:00 — NSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Anisimov · Goal · xG 0.21D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.13A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.12J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.12J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.00C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
3.94 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH76%24%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.89 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
37
Shots on goal
31
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
15
18
Blocked shots
18
3
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011-220.15110—25:19
4R. EllisD000-200.14150—24:46
14M. EkholmD022+300.02230—24:26
33V. ArvidssonL101070.85120—20:21
92R. JohansenC022-140.703006919:56
76P. SubbanD011+110.04000—18:39
9F. ForsbergL202070.48400—18:14
5D. HamhuisD000+100.00322—16:21
13N. BoninoC000030.480004016:10
10C. SissonsC101+110.121105016:03
22K. FialaL011+110.18100—15:49
15C. SmithC000020.280006715:16
19C. JarnkrokC011+110.00200014:45
51A. WatsonL000030.31310—14:13
52M. IrwinD000000.00112—11:48
38R. HartmanR000010.07100—09:48
89F. GaudreauC000020.040106709:13
23R. GrimaldiR000020.06010—09:05
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)31283.9032.27-0.7361:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).