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Lightning at Bruins
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
Boston Bruins
3
FinalTV SUN, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 6-3. The Lightning came back from two goals down. The Lightning led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 16:59 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.7 to 2.7; shots on goal were TBL 22, BOS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Edward Pasquale stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Edward Pasquale (30 saves, .909), 2. David Krejci (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Pastrnak (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    E. Pasquale30 saves, .909
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Krejci1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL0731134622
BOSBOS21106116333

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Krejci(20)
    C. McAvoy (21), D. Pastrnak (42)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:38
  2. BOS
    D. Heinen(11)
    S. Kampfer (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:40

2nd period

  1. TBL
    E. Cernak(5)PPG
    J. Miller (33), Y. Gourde (26)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    4:41
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(45)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    12:52
  3. TBL
    A. Cirelli(19)
    J. Miller (34), B. Coburn (19)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    16:59

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(41)
    R. McDonagh (37)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    0:53
  2. BOS
    M. Grzelcyk(3)
    D. Pastrnak (43), D. Krejci (53)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    4-3
    14:03
  3. TBL
    B. Coburn(4)
    A. Cirelli (20), D. Girardi (12)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    5-3
    14:16
  4. TBL
    T. Johnson(29)EN
    O. Palat (26), N. Kucherov (87)
    wristxG 0.84
    6-3
    18:34

Penalties

TBL 16 PIM·BOS 16 PIM

2nd

  • 2:48BOSJoakim Nordstrom · Slashingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 12:44TBLBraydon Coburn · High stickingdrawn by Joakim Nordstrom2 min
  • 17:47BOSDavid Pastrnak · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

3rd

  • 5:12TBLTyler Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 13:04TBLMathieu Joseph · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 13:04BOSDavid Backes · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min
  • 13:04BOSTrent Frederic · Misconductdrawn by Erik Cernak10 min
  • 13:04TBLErik Cernak · Misconductdrawn by Trent Frederic10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTBL goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 2nd 16:59 — TBL 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.20M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.19D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.17D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.15D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.15C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.15D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.14M. Grzelcyk · Goal · xG 0.14J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.13D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.13C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.11C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.11M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Senyshyn · Missed · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.10M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.10D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.10D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.06T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.05C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.05T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kuhlman · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 3.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsBOS
2.75 G
All situations
3 G3.7
1.33 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL20%80%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 3.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsBOS
22
Shots on goal
33
64%
Faceoffs
36%
1/2
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
16
27
Hits
25
8
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
8
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. RuttaD000030.05010—21:38
27R. McDonaghD011+100.00010—20:46
5D. GirardiD011+100.00510—19:44
33C. GaunceD000+110.10210—19:13
37Y. GourdeC011+100.000004019:08
91S. StamkosC101+120.251008018:35
55B. CoburnD112+110.04412—18:29
86N. KucherovR112+110.14010—17:58
81E. CernakD101030.161110—17:04
9T. JohnsonC101+131.401026417:03
10J. MillerC022010.090006716:47
7M. JosephR000-130.27402—15:27
18O. PalatL011000.00110—14:47
73A. ErneL000+110.01300—14:30
62D. MartelL000-110.05200—13:20
17A. KillornL000+110.05200—13:08
71A. CirelliC112+210.091007112:10
24R. CallahanR000-100.00000—04:13
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80E. Pasquale(W)33303.9093.74+0.7460:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).