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Bruins at Lightning
NHL

Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Boston Bruins
4
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 5-4. The Lightning came back from two goals down. The Bruins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 19:07 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were BOS 17, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.4 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (2 G, 2 A), 2. Brad Marchand (2 G), 3. Anthony Cirelli (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS143805417
TBLTBL2901039528

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(40)
    R. Callahan (10), M. Sergachev (21)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:42
  2. BOS
    B. Marchand(33)PPG
    D. Pastrnak (38), P. Bergeron (43)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    8:30
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos(41)
    V. Hedman (42), M. Sergachev (22)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:58

2nd period

  1. BOS
    C. Coyle(12)
    D. Backes (13)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:42
  2. BOS
    B. Carlo(2)
    D. Krejci (46), J. DeBrusk (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    13:41
  3. BOS
    B. Marchand(34)
    D. Pastrnak (39), P. Bergeron (44)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    14:32

3rd period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(12)
    S. Stamkos (51), J. Miller (31)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    5:36
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(38)
    S. Stamkos (52)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +37 pts
    4-4
    13:15
  3. TBL
    A. Cirelli(18)
    M. Joseph (12), R. McDonagh (33)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +46 pts
    4-5
    19:07

Penalties

BOS 12 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:28TBLNikita Kucherov · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 17:45TBLJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
  • 18:32TBLAlex Killorn · Trippingdrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min

2nd

  • 5:05BOSKarson Kuhlman · Holdingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 9:46BOSZdeno Chara · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

3rd

  • 6:45BOSDavid Pastrnak · High sticking double minordrawn by Ryan McDonagh4 min
  • 17:02BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 19:21BOSBrad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by Erik Cernak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalBOS goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 3rd 19:07 — TBL 52% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.18V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.16M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.16J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.16N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.13T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · Missed · xG 0.10A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.03B. Point · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.00S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTBL
2.14 G
All situations
5 G2.6
1.33 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS40%60%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTBL
17
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
0/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
33
10
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25B. CarloD101010.15200—27:00
73C. McAvoyD000-210.06002—26:47
33Z. CharaD000+110.02402—23:48
75C. CliftonD000-200.00410—20:33
13C. CoyleC101-120.261103119:30
63B. MarchandL202040.84002—17:02
14C. WagnerR000-200.00230—16:07
37P. BergeronC022020.140206116:07
43D. HeinenL000-100.00200—15:35
88D. PastrnakR022010.23204—15:30
46D. KrejciC011020.170107113:52
55N. AcciariC000-110.032004313:26
44S. KampferD000-100.07000—13:18
74J. DeBruskL011010.07000—13:13
20J. NordstromC000-100.00100012:36
83K. KuhlmanC000+100.00102012:03
42D. BackesR011010.01120—08:46
27J. MooreD000-100.00000—04:40
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)28235.8212.59-2.4159:28

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).