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Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NBCSN, SN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 8:43 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 58% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were TBL 21, BOS 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 37 of 41 (.902); Tuukka Rask stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noel Acciari (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake DeBrusk (1 G), 3. Louis Domingue (37 saves, .902).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    N. Acciari1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    L. Domingue37 saves, .902

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL0405112121
BOSBOS01711539441

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    J. DeBrusk(21)PPG
    T. Krug (39), T. Rask (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:43

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    11:47
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    12:32
  3. BOS
    D. Heinen (15), T. Krug (40)
    wristxG 0.16
    0-4
    13:15
  4. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.06
    1-4
    13:52

Penalties

TBL 21 PIM·BOS 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:54BOSDavid Backes · Fightingdrawn by Adam Erne5 min
  • 2:54TBLAdam Erne · Fightingdrawn by David Backes5 min

2nd

  • 4:54BOSZdeno Chara · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 8:11TBLVictor Hedman · Interferencedrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min

3rd

  • 9:29TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 14:30TBLVictor Hedman · Hookingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 15:54BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 17:59BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Cross checkingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 20:00TBLNikita Kucherov · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTBL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 2nd 8:43 — BOS 58% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.18N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.17B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.16P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.15D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.15D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.14N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.14B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.14C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.14N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.13D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.13S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.12J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.12B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.12D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.12C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.10B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.09C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.09C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.08N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.07T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.04C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 3.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsBOS
2.31 G
All situations
4 G3.9
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G3.8
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL25%75%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 3.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsBOS
21
Shots on goal
41
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/3
21
Penalty minutes
11
35
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
7
12
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000-110.01126—26:01
86N. KucherovR000-220.511010—22:01
6A. StralmanD000-110.03110—20:20
27R. McDonaghD000-120.02210—19:52
81E. CernakD000020.06210—18:56
21B. PointC000-210.010007018:14
91S. StamkosC000-110.271205018:07
98M. SergachevD000-110.03300—16:32
9T. JohnsonC000-130.33100016:10
71A. CirelliC101+120.112107815:41
17A. KillornL000+100.47300—15:15
10J. MillerC000-110.10310015:05
55B. CoburnD000020.07310—14:04
13C. PaquetteC000000.052202713:30
18O. PalatL011+110.13200—13:27
7M. JosephR000-100.04300—12:33
37Y. GourdeC000010.07300011:30
73A. ErneL000-100.00245—10:22
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(L)41374.9023.94-0.0657:48

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).