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Wild at Jets
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Winnipeg Jets
2
FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The Jets scored first; the Wild answered. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 18:59 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 97%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.2, WPG 2.2; shots on goal were MIN 40, WPG 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Devan Dubnyk (30 saves, .938), 2. Ben Chiarot (1 A), 3. Ryan Donato (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk30 saves, .938
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Chiarot1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    R. Donato2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN012114214340
WPGWPG11311009232

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(31)PPG
    P. Laine (13), K. Connor (25)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    8:53

2nd period

  1. MIN
    B. Hunt(5)PPG
    R. Donato (7), E. Staal (24)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    11:50
  2. WPG
    P. Laine(29)
    B. Chiarot (11), B. Wheeler (61)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    12:04

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(16)PPG
    R. Donato (8), E. Staal (25)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +41 pts
    2-2
    18:33
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(6)
    J. Brodin (12), Z. Parise (30)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +49 pts
    3-2
    18:59

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:40MINGreg Pateryn · High stickingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
  • 10:07MINNick Seeler · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

2nd

  • 10:29WPGPatrik Laine · Hookingdrawn by Greg Pateryn2 min

3rd

  • 0:22MINJordan Greenway · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 16:46WPGTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 19:20MINZach Parise · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 3rd 18:59 — MIN 48% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.23K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.10B. Little · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10B. Little · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.09J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.07B. Little · Missed · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.06K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Little · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.02M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG2 G · 2.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
2.23 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN50%50%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
40
Shots on goal
32
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
13
11
Blocked shots
9
3
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000000.01110—29:01
46J. SpurgeonD000030.10110—25:57
19L. KuninC000+110.020205320:56
25J. BrodinD011020.03210—20:28
29G. PaterynD000020.02302—19:48
11Z. PariseL011+150.240326718:07
22K. FialaL000030.15000—17:14
12E. StaalC022000.000004717:03
14J. Eriksson EkC101040.490302316:40
16J. ZuckerL101040.65100—16:08
18J. GreenwayL000-140.12102—15:46
26P. AbergL000010.01000—14:25
6R. DonatoC022020.0800010013:28
77B. HuntD101040.13000—12:34
17M. FolignoL000-110.01100—10:37
36N. SeelerD000000.01002—10:16
21E. FehrC000020.0510010009:14
23J. BrownR000020.13200—06:49
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)32302.9382.18+0.1859:36

Season series

MIN leads 5-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).