Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 12:16 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — WPG 1.6, MIN 1.5; shots on goal were WPG 33, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 3.5 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Parise (2 G), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G), 3. Devan Dubnyk (32 saves, .970).
Three stars
- ★Z. Parise2 G

- ★★J. Eriksson Ek1 G

- ★★★D. Dubnyk32 saves, .970

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-19:04
0-212:16
0-318:08
2nd period
0-410:29
1-416:13
3rd period
1-515:11
Penalties
1st
- 2:41
JT Brown · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
2nd
- 6:27
Brad Hunt · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
- 14:36
Dustin Byfuglien · Trippingdrawn by JT Brown2 min
3rd
- 7:31
Blake Wheeler · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Devan Dubnyk2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Zach Parise, 1st 12:16 — 67% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.61 G
- All situations
- 5 G1.5
- 1.40 G
- Even strength
- 5 G1.4
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 1.46
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 18
- Hits
- 16
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 1
- Giveaways
- 5
- 4
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
