Skip to content

Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 17:29 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 50% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 28, MIN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Alex Stalock stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Nino Niederreiter (1 G, 1 A), 2. Eric Staal (1 G), 3. Alex Stalock (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    N. Niederreiter1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    E. Staal1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    A. Stalock26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1151706228
MINMIN011012416439

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:50

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(5)PPG
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    18:57

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:06
  2. MIN
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    11:47
  3. MIN
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +44 pts
    2-3
    17:29
  4. MIN
    Z. Parise(10)EN
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    18:51

Penalties

WPG 16 PIM·MIN 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:16WPGBen Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 8:37MINRyan Suter · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 18:58WPGBen Chiarot · Interferencedrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

2nd

  • 1:10WPGDustin Byfuglien · Interferencedrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 4:41WPGMathieu Perreault · Slashingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 8:16MINJT Brown · Slashingdrawn by Nic Petan2 min
  • 13:39WPGTyler Myers · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 17:10MINMarcus Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

3rd

  • 8:09WPGBryan Little · Interferencedrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 14:29MINNick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 14:29WPGAdam Lowry · Elbowingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 14:29WPGAdam Lowry · Roughingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 14:29MINJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 15:17MINRyan Suter · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 3rd 17:29 — MIN 50% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.33E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.28E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.21J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.19E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.19M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.15E. Fehr · On goal · xG 0.14J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.14E. Fehr · Goal · xG 0.12E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.02J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.02E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.00M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.00M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
1.82 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG36%64%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
39
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
0/6
16
Penalty minutes
12
20
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
17
2
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000-140.12332—25:14
55M. ScheifeleC000-120.220202823:19
8J. TroubaD000-210.08400—22:27
26B. WheelerR000-120.032106722:00
44J. MorrisseyD011-210.26020—21:59
7B. ChiarotD000000.00204—18:06
57T. MyersD011020.04222—17:33
13B. TanevL000-100.16120—16:16
17A. LowryC000-110.010045815:16
29P. LaineL101040.22310—15:11
18B. LittleC011-140.350023815:07
81K. ConnorL000010.06100—14:43
27N. EhlersL101-120.06010—14:07
9A. CoppC000-120.1010010013:05
85M. PerreaultC011-200.00012010:42
70J. MorrowD000010.02100—10:13
28J. RoslovicC000-100.000005006:43
19N. PetanC000-110.04000006:11
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)38353.9212.51-0.4959:48

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).