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Wild at Jets
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Winnipeg Jets
1
FinalTV FS-N, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 2:17 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.6 to 1.1; shots on goal were MIN 25, WPG 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 26 of 27 (.963); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie Coyle (1 G), 2. Jordan Greenway, 3. Connor Hellebuyck (22 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    C. Coyle1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Greenway
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck22 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1111717325
WPGWPG06010111127

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Bartkowski(1)
    M. Foligno (5)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:28

2nd period

  1. MIN
    C. Coyle(6)
    L. Kunin (1), Z. Parise (15)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:17

3rd period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(24)PPG
    B. Wheeler (44), D. Byfuglien (25)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    7:21
  2. MIN
    E. Fehr(5)EN
    Z. Parise (16)
    wristxG 0.89win prob +2 pts
    3-1
    19:13

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

2nd

  • 16:53MINGreg Pateryn · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

3rd

  • 5:44MINNino Niederreiter · Holdingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 18:05MINJordan Greenway · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 18:05WPGMathieu Perreault · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 2nd 2:17 — MIN 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Little · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 1.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
2.62 G
All situations
1 G1.1
1.32 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN56%44%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.29 – 1.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
25
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/0
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
26
24
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD000+100.00050—26:32
20R. SuterD000+110.01020—25:44
29G. PaterynD000010.02252—22:56
25J. BrodinD000000.00020—22:11
9M. KoivuC000010.480105917:44
3C. CoyleC101+120.242003815:55
16J. ZuckerL000010.11110—15:40
11Z. PariseL022+220.16020—15:32
64M. GranlundC000000.05310014:59
12E. StaalC000020.042001114:23
21E. FehrC101+240.971105813:56
18J. GreenwayL000030.30002—13:37
22N. NiederreiterR000010.04202—13:37
19L. KuninC011+100.01120013:30
17M. FolignoL011+110.03400—13:18
15M. HendricksC000+140.1111010012:13
39N. ProsserD000+200.00200—11:49
44M. BartkowskiD101+220.02110—10:52
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)27261.9631.07+0.0760:00

Season series

MIN leads 5-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).