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Canadiens at Panthers
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, SN·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 17:49 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 6.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 31, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Carey Price stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.8 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (3 G, 1 A), 2. Keith Yandle (2 A), 3. Frank Vatrano (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    K. Yandle2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    F. Vatrano1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL21711103331
FLAFLA310114212636

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(20)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.27win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    3:59
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:28
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:04
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    13:57
  5. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.49win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    16:46

2nd period

  1. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    5:18
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.16win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    17:49

3rd period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    3-5
    9:13
  2. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.94
    3-6
    17:35

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:52MTLMax Domi · High stickingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 17:32FLAMike Hoffman · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordie Benn2 min
  • 19:06FLAMark Pysyk · High stickingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

2nd

  • 6:20MTLPhillip Danault · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 14:12MTLJonathan Drouin · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

3rd

  • 13:52FLAJoshua Brown · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalMTL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 2nd 17:49 — FLA 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Sheahan · Goal · xG 0.94J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.62T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.42A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.41A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.27A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.26A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.24E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.24F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.24A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.22A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.21A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.17A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.16J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.16J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.13D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.12H. Borgstrom · Missed · xG 0.11E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.08R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.08H. Borgstrom · Missed · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.06K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Malgin · Goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 6.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsFLA
2.43 G
All situations
5 G6.1
1.93 G
Even strength
4 G3.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL14%86%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 5.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsFLA
31
Shots on goal
36
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
19
8
Blocked shots
12
21
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD000-210.05130—23:17
26J. PetryD000010.08500—19:59
53V. MeteD000-300.00100—19:37
92J. DrouinL000-330.070023319:20
8J. BennD000030.04100—19:13
65A. ShawR000+110.251005818:22
17B. KulakD000000.00010—18:05
13M. DomiC202+140.360024017:38
28M. ReillyD011+130.09100—17:25
90T. TatarL022+120.14200—17:15
40J. ArmiaR000-130.27400—15:07
15J. KotkaniemiC000-110.012104714:16
24P. DanaultC000-210.042026414:15
11B. GallagherR101-240.79100—14:06
62A. LehkonenL000-120.08200—13:26
21N. ThompsonC000000.001105812:44
54C. HudonL000020.12410—12:18
22D. WeiseR000000.02210—10:17
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)26242.9233.78+1.7845:16
37A. Niemi963.6671.39-1.6113:57

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).