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Panthers at Canadiens
NHL

Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-F·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 6-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Kulak's goal at 12:39 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were FLA 34, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Tatar (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brett Kulak (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carey Price (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    T. Tatar2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Kulak1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Price33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01408112134
MTLMTL3112719627

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    A. Shaw (23), J. Petry (32)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    6:58
  2. MTL
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:39
  3. MTL
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    14:28

2nd period

  1. MTL
    A. Shaw (24), B. Kulak (9)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    2:52
  2. MTL
    V. Mete (12), T. Tatar (32)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    12:40

3rd period

  1. FLA
    F. Vatrano(23)PPG
    wristxG 0.12
    1-5
    1:35
  2. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06
    1-6
    11:48

Penalties

FLA 14 PIM·MTL 16 PIM

1st

  • 2:24MTLPaul Byron · Fightingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar5 min
  • 2:24FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Fightingdrawn by Paul Byron5 min
  • 4:02MTLTomas Tatar · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 15:17FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Weal2 min
  • 16:48MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
  • 19:25FLAFrank Vatrano · Holdingdrawn by Victor Mete2 min

2nd

  • 7:29FLATroy Brouwer · Fightingdrawn by Christian Folin5 min
  • 7:29MTLChristian Folin · Fightingdrawn by Troy Brouwer5 min
  • 19:41MTLBrendan Gallagher · Hookingdrawn by Jayce Hawryluk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalFLA goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Brett Kulak, 1st 12:39 — MTL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.30P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.17J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.17J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.15A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.11M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.11J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.06P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.06M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.05J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kulak · Goal · xG 0.04A. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.04S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.03J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Folin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL6 G · 2.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsMTL
2.31 G
All situations
6 G2.0
1.50 G
Even strength
6 G2.0
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA55%45%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsMTL
34
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
16
24
Hits
23
23
Blocked shots
13
19
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000-200.00210—24:16
3K. YandleD000-330.12040—22:20
19M. MathesonD000-400.00140—21:57
16A. BarkovC000-220.110204518:34
63E. DadonovL000-240.40000—18:06
13M. PysykD000010.07020—17:26
21V. TrocheckC011-340.211105017:22
11J. HuberdeauL000-220.15200—17:05
72F. VatranoR101040.47212—16:52
2J. BrownD000020.02210—16:22
62D. MalginC011020.111003316:12
73D. HuntL000020.08300—14:57
7C. SceviourC000-130.333204013:51
68M. HoffmanC000-440.20200013:43
15R. SheahanC000-100.001007513:07
52M. WeegarD000-310.03107—13:00
22T. BrouwerR000000.00215—11:07
8J. HawrylukR000-300.00140—09:43
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Montembeault18153.8331.13-1.8745:32
34J. Reimer(L)963.6670.88-2.1214:28

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).