Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Panthers scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phillip Danault's goal at 10:44 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.2 to 3.5; shots on goal were FLA 53, MTL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. James Reimer stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.5 goals below expected; Antti Niemi stopped 52 of 53 (.981), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Niemi (52 saves, .981), 2. Max Domi (1 G), 3. Shea Weber (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-014:11
2nd period
1-10:29
1-210:44
1-316:53
3rd period
1-414:22
1-518:24
Penalties
1st
- 10:00
Max Domi · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
- 10:00
Max Domi · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- 10:00
Mike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
- 10:57
Jonathan Huberdeau · Holdingdrawn by Paul Byron2 min
- 19:42
Keith Yandle · Slashingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
2nd
- 3:14
Juho Lammikko · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Chaput2 min
- 3:40
Paul Byron · Chargingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
- 6:36
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min
3rd
- 9:51
served by J. Kotkaniemi · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Phillip Danault, 2nd 10:44 — 53% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.51 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.2
- 2.91 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.3
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 116 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.40 – 2.47
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 53
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 36%
- Faceoffs
- 64%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 25
- Hits
- 27
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 21
- Giveaways
- 19
- 9
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
