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Canadiens at Panthers
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, TSN2·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Tatar's goal at 8:54 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 55% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were MTL 28, FLA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Antti Niemi stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G), 2. Tomas Tatar (2 G), 3. Henrik Borgstrom (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    A. Lehkonen1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    T. Tatar2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    H. Borgstrom1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL2907312528
FLAFLA2708111326

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:35
  2. MTL
    V. Mete (6), S. Weber (4)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    2:51
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    8:01
  4. FLA
    slapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    13:53

3rd period

  1. MTL
    T. Tatar(14)PPG
    J. Drouin (20), M. Domi (22)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    3-2
    8:54
  2. MTL
    A. Shaw (13), B. Kulak (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    4-2
    15:40
  3. FLA
    K. Yandle(6)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    4-3
    18:44
  4. MTL
    J. Drouin(12)EN
    wristxG 0.71win prob +3 pts
    5-3
    19:37

Penalties

MTL 11 PIM·FLA 11 PIM

1st

  • 16:57FLATroy Brouwer · Hookingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

2nd

  • 0:16MTLPhillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min
  • 4:26MTLMax Domi · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

3rd

  • 6:49FLAFrank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Michael Chaput2 min
  • 8:08FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:39MTLPhillip Danault · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 17:39MTLPhillip Danault · Fightingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad5 min
  • 17:39FLAAaron Ekblad · Fightingdrawn by Phillip Danault5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalMTL goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Tomas Tatar, 3rd 8:54 — MTL 55% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Malgin · Goal · xG 0.17H. Borgstrom · Goal · xG 0.16J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.15F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.08H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.08H. Borgstrom · Missed · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.06M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.04K. Yandle · Goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 1.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsFLA
3.04 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL61%39%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsFLA
28
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
28
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD011+310.02410—27:16
26J. PetryD011010.11520—23:36
53V. MeteD011+210.01030—19:29
28M. ReillyD000-120.01110—17:11
13M. DomiC011030.252025317:05
11B. GallagherR000+210.25010—17:02
8J. BennD000010.03000—16:51
92J. DrouinL112040.85000—16:42
24P. DanaultC000+110.021195016:20
41P. ByronL000-120.31100—16:13
90T. TatarL202+140.40110—15:40
62A. LehkonenL101020.1010010015:26
65A. ShawR011010.131006714:01
17B. KulakD011010.09100—13:50
15J. KotkaniemiC000000.241005013:05
43M. ChaputC000+110.062103313:04
47K. AgostinoL000+100.00400—11:27
20N. DeslauriersL101+120.18300—10:38
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Niemi(W)26233.8851.78-1.2259:59

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).