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Lightning at Rangers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
New York Rangers
2
FinalTV NBC·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Cernak's goal at 4:41 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were TBL 23, NYR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (1 G), 2. Mika Zibanejad (2 A), 3. Louis Domingue (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    L. Domingue31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1621304323
NYRNYR0819116233

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(13)
    R. McDonagh (23), M. Joseph (6)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:51

2nd period

  1. TBL
    E. Cernak(1)
    R. Callahan (8), C. Paquette (3)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:41
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(28)
    V. Hedman (28), N. Kucherov (58)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    8:33
  3. NYR
    M. Zuccarello(9)
    M. Zibanejad (29), C. Kreider (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    16:17

3rd period

  1. NYR
    K. Hayes(11)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (30), H. Lundqvist (3)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    6:49

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:54NYRAdam McQuaid · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 18:31TBLDan Girardi · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min

2nd

  • 11:08TBLserved by J. Miller · Too many men on the icedrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min

3rd

  • 5:38TBLBraydon Coburn · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 14:09TBLRyan McDonagh · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTBL goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Erik Cernak, 2nd 4:41 — TBL 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.23C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.18J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.18K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.16K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.14R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.14B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.14N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.09A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.07J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYR
2.43 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL39%61%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYR
23
Shots on goal
33
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
34
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
8
19
Giveaways
20
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011+120.04500—22:37
81E. CernakD101+220.32020—22:26
27R. McDonaghD011+130.04032—20:39
5D. GirardiD000+100.00302—19:15
86N. KucherovR011+110.21200—18:59
91S. StamkosC101+120.381006918:43
6A. StralmanD000-110.02010—17:11
71A. CirelliC000+120.220204816:36
55B. CoburnD000000.00512—16:16
17A. KillornL000000.00110—16:09
37Y. GourdeC101+120.121106315:44
9T. JohnsonC000+120.170105015:26
18O. PalatL000010.07100—15:15
13C. PaquetteC011000.003007513:12
7M. JosephR011+120.26310—12:47
10J. MillerC000000.002004011:06
24R. CallahanR011020.35310—10:26
73A. ErneL000010.18400—10:05
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(W)33312.9392.94+0.9460:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).