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Rangers at Lightning
NHL

New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV SUN, MSG·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Rangers 6-3. The Rangers scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan McDonagh's goal at 12:42 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYR 26, TBL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.8 goals below expected; Louis Domingue stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (3 G), 2. Kevin Hayes (2 G), 3. Ryan McDonagh (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos3 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    K. Hayes2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    R. McDonagh1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR2805113326
TBLTBL11321637636

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    K. Hayes(6)
    R. Strome (5), V. Namestnikov (8)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    12:19
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(13)PPG
    V. Hedman (12), J. Miller (16)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    14:09
  3. NYR
    K. Hayes(7)
    J. Vesey (7)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    15:07

2nd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(14)PPG
    V. Hedman (13), B. Point (19)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    6:19
  2. TBL
    R. McDonagh(3)
    B. Point (20), N. Kucherov (33)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    12:42

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(7)
    E. Cernak (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    10:17
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(15)
    O. Palat (8), B. Coburn (8)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    10:41
  3. NYR
    J. Fast(3)
    F. Chytil (5)
    wristxG 0.23
    3-5
    17:34
  4. TBL
    A. Cirelli(8)EN
    A. Killorn (11), J. Miller (17)
    wristxG 0.92
    3-6
    19:21

Penalties

NYR 17 PIM·TBL 7 PIM

1st

  • 1:02NYRRyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 10:14TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 13:25NYRMarc Staal · Interferencedrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 16:23NYRChris Kreider · Cross checkingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 17:52NYRNeal Pionk · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

2nd

  • 5:45NYRNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

3rd

  • 3:57NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 15:17TBLErik Cernak · Fightingdrawn by Matt Beleskey5 min
  • 15:17NYRMatt Beleskey · Fightingdrawn by Erik Cernak5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYR goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan McDonagh, 2nd 12:42 — TBL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.92S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.17A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.16A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.14B. Point · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.09T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.08T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.06R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.06C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.06R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.06M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.05T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05R. McDonagh · Goal · xG 0.04B. Point · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.00E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 4.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTBL
2.13 G
All situations
5 G4.1
1.73 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR30%70%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTBL
26
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
2/6
17
Penalty minutes
7
29
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
18M. StaalD000+130.10132—24:27
44N. PionkD000+100.00214—23:37
76B. SkjeiD000030.16110—22:31
77T. DeAngeloD000-230.26200—22:25
13K. HayesR202+250.401004420:25
33F. ClaessonD000-100.03310—19:22
93M. ZibanejadC000-120.092104317:37
16R. StromeC011+120.042028817:25
26J. VeseyL011010.10400—16:56
72F. ChytilC011-110.01010014:10
20C. KreiderL000-120.15412—13:56
21B. HowdenC000-110.031004013:39
17J. FastR101-210.36200—13:38
90V. NamestnikovC011-110.2321210013:26
50L. AnderssonC000-100.000002911:08
39M. BeleskeyL000000.02105—10:32
38S. FogartyC000010.11000009:23
22K. ShattenkirkD000000.00110—07:38
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)35305.8573.21-1.7958:27

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).