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Lightning at Rangers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
New York Rangers
3
Final/OTTV NBCSN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Rangers 4-3 in overtime, Victor Hedman scoring at 3:25. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 3:25 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — TBL 3.7, NYR 3.8; shots on goal were TBL 30, NYR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 26 of 30 (.867). Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nikita Kucherov (3 A), 3. Jimmy Vesey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Vesey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL214180612430
NYRNYR093170901336

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    T. Johnson(22)
    N. Kucherov (72), A. Stralman (15)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:52
  2. TBL
    J. Miller(12)PPG
    N. Kucherov (73), V. Hedman (31)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    14:57

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(27)
    J. Vesey (18), T. DeAngelo (19)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:56
  2. TBL
    D. Girardi(4)
    S. Stamkos (43), B. Point (44)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    2:53
  3. NYR
    J. Vesey(16)
    F. Claesson (4), K. Shattenkirk (19)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    3:23
  4. NYR
    B. Nieves(4)
    R. Strome (11), V. Namestnikov (15)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    14:14

Overtime

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(8)
    N. Kucherov (74), S. Stamkos (44)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:25

Penalties

TBL 17 PIM·NYR 11 PIM

1st

  • 11:04TBLMikhail Sergachev · Hookingdrawn by Boo Nieves2 min
  • 14:33NYRBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

2nd

  • 1:28NYRPavel Buchnevich · Fightingdrawn by Yanni Gourde5 min
  • 1:28TBLYanni Gourde · Fightingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich5 min
  • 1:28NYRBrendan Lemieux · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 2:00TBLJ.T. Miller · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 7:42TBLRyan McDonagh · Interferencedrawn by Lias Andersson2 min
  • 10:42TBLCedric Paquette · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min
  • 17:57TBLJ.T. Miller · Slashingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 20:00NYRPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

3rd

  • 2:03TBLMikhail Sergachev · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTBL goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Victor Hedman, OT 3:25 — TBL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.21J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.19P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.17B. Nieves · Goal · xG 0.16J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.16B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.16T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.14C. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.14R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.12P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.11B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.09J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.09C. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.09K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.07J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.07B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.06J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.06L. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 3.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYR
3.74 G
All situations
3 G3.8
2.93 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL50%50%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.71 – 3.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYR
30
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/6
17
Penalty minutes
11
34
Hits
30
17
Blocked shots
20
18
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD112+140.82220—27:06
27R. McDonaghD000-120.03022—23:17
81E. CernakD000-110.05520—21:45
5D. GirardiD101+120.14530—21:28
86N. KucherovR033+130.32300—20:19
91S. StamkosC022-100.000103819:42
21B. PointC011+130.661205019:28
9T. JohnsonC101+150.451105017:26
71A. CirelliC000000.114009016:12
6A. StralmanD011-130.05110—15:31
17A. KillornL000-100.00000—15:24
98M. SergachevD000010.31014—13:21
10J. MillerC101-130.322042513:17
37Y. GourdeC000000.0011510012:24
13C. PaquetteC000000.003022212:14
18O. PalatL000-100.07000—11:20
24R. CallahanR000020.19300—09:07
73A. ErneL000010.21310—08:54
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)36333.9173.76+0.7663:25

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).