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Maple Leafs at Bruins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NBCSN, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Backes's goal at 15:43 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 55% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were TOR 27, BOS 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 2.1 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G, 2 A), 3. Tuukka Rask (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Rask26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR1701109127
BOSBOS19216215540

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    5:28
  2. TOR
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:52

2nd period

  1. BOS
    D. Backes(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    15:43
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    19:22

3rd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    7:41
  2. BOS
    D. Krejci(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.07
    1-5
    11:29

Penalties

TOR 23 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:04TORJames van Riemsdyk · Hookingdrawn by Rick Nash2 min
  • 5:54BOSDavid Krejci · Hookingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 0:59BOSZdeno Chara · Holding the stickdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 6:49BOSDanton Heinen · Slashingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 13:59TORPatrick Marleau · Hookingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min

3rd

  • 1:54TORserved by M. Marner · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 4:44TORNazem Kadri · Boardingdrawn by Tommy Wingels2 min
  • 8:18TORNazem Kadri · Chargingdrawn by Tommy Wingels5 min
  • 8:18TORNazem Kadri · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTOR goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: David Backes, 2nd 15:43 — BOS 55% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Backes · Goal · xG 0.18S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.18N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.11P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.11A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.08S. Kuraly · Goal · xG 0.07M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.07D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.06T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.05D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.04D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.03T. Wingels · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.02A. McQuaid · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.02A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Schaller · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00T. Wingels · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 2.9 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsBOS
2.41 G
All situations
5 G2.9
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.90 G
Power play
3 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR41%59%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsBOS
27
Shots on goal
40
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
3/6
23
Penalty minutes
6
42
Hits
37
15
Blocked shots
8
11
Giveaways
7
11
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22N. ZaitsevD000+120.01330—20:49
2R. HainseyD000-110.00010—20:23
46R. PolakD000020.01420—18:51
51J. GardinerD000020.16000—18:46
44M. RiellyD011-200.08220—18:23
12P. MarleauC000010.2710210017:04
29W. NylanderR000010.0700010016:44
23T. DermottD000020.03310—16:38
11Z. HymanL101+120.18410—16:01
47L. KomarovR000-120.214103316:00
34A. MatthewsC000030.282005515:24
16M. MarnerR000040.41200—15:18
25J. van RiemsdykL000-110.04502—14:11
43N. KadriC000000.1050175414:08
42T. BozakC000030.302106414:00
28C. BrownR011000.050105013:58
24K. KapanenR000-110.1222010012:07
19T. PlekanecC000-100.043004010:07
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)40355.8752.90-2.1060:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).