Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 7-3. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 5:26 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals were close — TOR 2.7, BOS 2.8; shots on goal were TOR 33, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Curtis McElhinney stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.7 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (3 G, 3 A), 2. Brad Marchand (4 A), 3. Kevan Miller (1 G).
Three stars
- ★D. Pastrnak3 G, 3 A

- ★★B. Marchand4 A

- ★★★K. Miller1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
0-15:26
0-29:46
0-312:13
0-415:00
2nd period
1-41:22
1-53:46
2-59:02
3rd period
2-612:34
3-614:53
3-718:24
Penalties
1st
- 8:24
served by W. Nylander · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 14:49
Ron Hainsey · Roughingdrawn by Tim Schaller2 min
- 14:49
Ron Hainsey · Roughingdrawn by Tim Schaller2 min
- 14:49
Tim Schaller · Roughingdrawn by Ron Hainsey2 min
2nd
- 3:52
Rick Nash · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
- 13:04
James van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
- 17:03
Mitch Marner · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 4:37
Matt Grzelcyk · Hookingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
- 8:43
David Pastrnak · Interferencedrawn by William Nylander2 min
- 14:20
David Krejci · Holdingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: David Pastrnak, 1st 5:26 — 54% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.73 G
- All situations
- 7 G2.8
- 2.12 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.2
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.5
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 2.82
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 2/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 28
- Hits
- 34
- 4
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 13
- Giveaways
- 11
- 10
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






