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Bruins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV NBCSN, NESN·Air Canada Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 14:47 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.7 to 3.2; shots on goal were BOS 42, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 0.8 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (40 saves, .952), 2. Patrick Marleau (2 G), 3. Morgan Rielly (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    F. Andersen40 saves, .952
  2. ★★
    TOR
    P. Marleau2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS08216018242
TORTOR11221117430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    snapxG 0.18win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    17:05

2nd period

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:06
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:49
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:19
  4. TOR
    snapxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    14:47

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    16:25

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:58BOSRiley Nash · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:26TORPatrick Marleau · Hookingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 17:56BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min
  • 17:56TORMorgan Rielly · Cross checkingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalBOS goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 2nd 14:47 — TOR 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.28P. Marleau · Goal · xG 0.22A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.18J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.18M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.18A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.15A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.11T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09P. Marleau · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08D. Moore · Missed · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.06T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.04C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.00J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 3.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTOR
3.72 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.92 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS59%41%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.69 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTOR
42
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
38
22
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000+120.03150—26:21
47T. KrugD000-340.33210—25:16
33Z. CharaD101+150.23360—22:31
37P. BergeronC000-230.473104821:44
88D. PastrnakR000-230.44110—21:24
86K. MillerD000-320.03410—20:01
63B. MarchandL000-330.39012—19:57
46D. KrejciC000-120.221105318:19
61R. NashL000-150.58010—17:28
74J. DeBruskL000000.00300—15:09
42D. BackesR000030.23110—14:46
20R. NashC000030.120125513:08
43D. HeinenL000020.31000—13:08
44N. HoldenD011+100.00100—12:25
55N. AcciariC000+200.04400009:58
52S. KuralyC022+220.170004409:42
59T. SchallerL011+200.09000—09:39
54A. McQuaidD101+130.03220—09:18
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)30264.8673.17-0.8357:39

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).