Tigers at Astros
Last play · Jason Heyward lines out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Astros0%
DET 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 0 HOU
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Astros favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Rogers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Wenceel Pérez scores. Parker Meadows to 2nd. (inning 2) — -15% Tigers
9Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Zach Dezenzo scores. Alex Bregman to 2nd.3–1
2Matt Vierling singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Jake Rogers scores. Trey Sweeney to 2nd.3–0
2Trey Sweeney singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Parker Meadows scores. Jake Rogers to 3rd.2–0
2Jake Rogers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Wenceel Pérez scores. Parker Meadows to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































