Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona CardinalsMarket
- Book
- +10
- o44.5
- Exchange
- —
- 24% ARI
- Volume
- 24k
- contracts
Spreads are home-relative — negative means Arizona Cardinals is favoured.
Our projection
how the number is built- Model
- +9.4
- Cardinals
- Win prob
- 77%
- Seahawks
- Likely range
- -26 to 7
- 8 in 10 games
- Rating gap
- 1304 − 1755 = -18.0 pts
- Shrunk ×0.644
- -11.6 pts
- Home field
- +2.25 pts
- Projected margin
- -9.4 Cardinals
Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price.
The matchup
form, ratings and the series
- Our rating
- 1755#1
- FPI rank
- #202026
- Record
- 1-0
- Point diff
- +3+3/g
- Our rating
- 1304#29
- FPI rank
- #312026
- Record
- —not started
- Point diff
- —last season's rating
Last 5 meetings
Cardinals 0–5- 2025 wk 10Cardinals at Seahawks22–44Seahawks
- 2025 wk 4Seahawks at Cardinals23–20Seahawks
- 2024 wk 14Seahawks at Cardinals30–18Seahawks
- 2024 wk 12Cardinals at Seahawks6–16Seahawks
- 2023 wk 18Seahawks at Cardinals21–20Seahawks
From the 2023 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.
Order flow
43 trades · $223Thin market — too few trades here to read anything into the split.
Share of money and share of trades among the side that crossed the spread to get filled, over the last 43 trades. This is exchange flow, not a sportsbook's handle — a different set of people, and a smaller pool.
Who has moved
consensus +10| Venue | Now | Moved | vs cons. |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKingsunmoved | +10 | 0 | 0 |
Movement is measured from the first price we archived (2026-08-31), not from the market open. Spreads are home-relative.
Total
The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.
Notable trades
12 orders · 36% of the money- Seattle Seahawks209 @ 0.76$15956×
- Seattle Seahawks197 @ 0.77$15253×
- Seattle Seahawks189 @ 0.76$14451×
- Seattle Seahawks150 @ 0.76$11440×
- Arizona Cardinals352 @ 0.27$9534×
- Seattle Seahawks113 @ 0.82$9333×
- Seattle Seahawks116 @ 0.77$9032×
- Arizona Cardinals331 @ 0.27$8932×
- Seattle Seahawks103 @ 0.77$7928×
- Arizona Cardinals302 @ 0.25$7627×
- Arizona Cardinals274 @ 0.25$6824×
- Arizona Cardinals294 @ 0.21$6222×
Orders at least 5× the typical trade on this market (median $2.84), largest first, from the last 360 prints. Size, side and time are facts from the tape — who placed them, and why, is not something we can see.
Resting size
0.23 / 0.25 · 2¢ wideDollars waiting to be filled on each side — what has not traded yet, which is the opposite of a handle figure. Resting orders can be pulled, so this is a picture of intent, not a prediction.