Royals at Orioles
Last play · Gunnar Henderson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles0%
KC 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 1 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Orioles favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cedric Mullins homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 5) — +22% Orioles
6Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jordan Westburg. Kyle Isbel scores. Michael Massey to 2nd.2–1
5Cedric Mullins homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Michael Massey scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































