Mets at Brewers
Last play · Jesse Winker flies out to left fielder Jackson Chourio.
Win probability
Brewers100%
NYM 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 3 – 2 MIL
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Brewers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Chourio homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 8) — +35% Brewers
8Garrett Mitchell homers (1) on a line drive to center field. Willy Adames scores.3–5
8Jackson Chourio homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.3–3
5Blake Perkins out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Brice Turang scores.3–2
2Francisco Lindor out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Tyrone Taylor scores.3–1
2Francisco Alvarez singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Starling Marte scores. Tyrone Taylor to 3rd.2–1
1Jackson Chourio homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Jose Iglesias scores. Mark Vientos to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































