Rangers at D-backs
Last play · Josh Jung strikes out swinging.
Win probability
D-backs100%
TEX 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 4 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
D-backs favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (25) on a fly ball to right field. Joc Pederson scores. (inning 3) — +10% D-backs
8Jose Herrera hits a ground-rule double (3) on a line drive to right-center field. Pavin Smith scores.0–6
8Pavin Smith doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Jake McCarthy scores.0–5
3Christian Walker homers (25) on a fly ball to right field. Joc Pederson scores.0–4
1Christian Walker homers (24) on a line drive to right field.0–2
1Joc Pederson homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































